Considering the large dispersion when processing small-sample fatigue test data of composite materials, a new method for modeling probabilistic S-N curves is proposed in terms of the equivalent fatigue lives. An equivalent fatigue life conversion model is first established based on two fundamental assumptions to improve the small-sample information utilized. Subsequently, a backward statistical inference technique improved by particle swarm optimization is used to determine probabilistic S-N curves through the equivalent fatigue lives. Finally, the proposed method is verified in terms of precision and stability by the fatigue test data of carbon eight-harness-satin/epoxy laminate. The results indicate that the proposed method can offer an accurate description of the probabilistic behavior of composite materials with small-sample test data.
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