Abstract
Background
In severe and disabling diseases where the underlying mechanisms are not well understood, hospitalisation generally represents the majority of direct healthcare costs, while production losses dominate overall costs. When effective treatments are introduced, costs shift to outpatient care, while research into the underlying disease mechanisms intensifies. This can lead to fundamental changes in the management of the disease. A well-known example of this is peptic ulcer disease where, historically, costs were dominated by surgery and loss of work capacity. The advent of the proton pump inhibitors led to better understanding of both the causes and mechanisms of the disease, and the discovery of the role of
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is currently on a similar journey. Prior to the mid-1990s, hospitalisation represented 80%–90% of MS-related healthcare costs in the United Kingdom and Sweden.2–4 The introduction and use of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) over the past two decades has had profound effects on the management of the disease. In parallel, improved diagnostic criteria have enabled earlier diagnosis and treatment.5,6 In addition, a new emphasis has been placed on understanding the mechanisms underpinning disability progression, championed by the Progressive MS Alliance. 7 Costs have shifted, and outpatient care now represents 80%–90% of MS-related healthcare costs. 8 Between the late 1990s and 2008, total societal costs per patient in the early stages of MS rose from around 10,000€–15,000€ to 20,000€–25,000€.9–12 Robust evidence on the effect of early treatment on long-term costs and outcomes is still sparse, however, due to the need to collect real-world data over the entire duration of the disease course. At the same time, public authorities demand proof that their considerable investment in DMTs represents an efficient use of public funds across the healthcare system as a whole.13,14 This question is becoming more pressing due to the number of new DMTs in development. 15
The cost-effectiveness of interventions in chronic progressive diseases is assessed by linking changes in disability and/or symptoms with changes in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and resource consumption (costs). Several cost-effectiveness models for MS have been proposed, generally when a new DMT is introduced, and its cost-effectiveness has to be estimated for decisions about reimbursement.12,16–18 However, all existing models use clinical trial data to estimate changes in outcomes and are thus relevant mostly for the population included in the trials. 19 Generally, use in clinical practice expands beyond these groups. 20
A number of patient registries collect prospective real-world outcome and safety data. 21 Some registries also collect HRQoL data, but none collect comprehensive data on resource consumption. Thus, cost-effectiveness assessments still require modelling to link real-world effectiveness data with costs, which have to be collected separately. This is best done using a measure that represents disease state and is also correlated with costs and HRQoL, such as the Kurtzke Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) in MS. 19
This study provides data on disease state, costs and HRQoL from 16,808 patients with MS in 16 European countries, reported by severity of disease on the EDSS.
Methods
Patient enrolment
This cross-sectional, observational study was endorsed by the European Multiple Sclerosis Platform (EMSP) and carried out in collaboration with national MS societies and local clinical and economic experts. The methodology was similar to previous studies, 8 and the countries included were Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom.
A standard questionnaire was translated and discussed with each local study group to ensure relevance and easy comprehension. Authorisation from ethics commissions and informed consent from participants were obtained in all countries. Patients 18 years of age or over were invited to participate by patient organisations, via direct electronic mail, a printed invitation mailed directly or with a regular information bulletin, or the organisations’ websites and social media platforms, whichever was the most feasible and efficient. In all cases, patients could respond either directly on a study-specific Internet platform or return a paper questionnaire. All responses were fully anonymous, with no opportunity to verify answers, complete missing information or identify individuals.
Sample size
Resource data are generally highly variable and severely skewed, with few patients having very high resource consumption. We therefore aimed to enrol sufficient participants at each stage of disease severity (defined by EDSS score) in order to estimate the costs related to disease progression, rather than aiming to enrol a representative prevalence sample. In earlier studies, the magnitude of the standard deviation (SD) was stable once a sample size of at least 50 was reached. 8 We thus set an optimistic target of enrolling 50–100 patients for each of 11 EDSS scores.
Data
The survey contained questions about patients’ disease (self-assessed EDSS score, relapses and disease type); demographics (age, gender, living arrangements, education and work situation); inpatient care (admissions, day admissions, rehabilitation and nursing homes); outpatient care (consultations, investigations and tests, MS medications, relapse treatments, other prescription and non-prescription drugs); equipment, aids and investments; community assistance (nurse visits, home help, transportation); and family assistance (informal care). The recall periods for resource use were varied by resource in order to enhance the precision of the answers. Resource use is reported for these recall periods, while costs are annualised.
In addition, measures of difficulties at work and symptoms, such as current fatigue and cognitive impairment, were collected using visual analogue scales (VAS; 0 = no problem, 10 = severe problems). HRQoL was assessed using the EuroQol Five Dimensions questionnaire with three levels per domain (EQ-5D 3L), a standardised, disease-independent instrument that estimates the level of problems experienced in five domains (mobility, self-care, usual activities, pain/discomfort, anxiety/depression). Answers are related to preference values from the general population to derive an overall utility weight, defined as a value between 1 (full health) and 0 (death), with negative values possible. 22 To enable comparisons between countries and with previous studies, the original preference values for the United Kingdom were used. 23
Analysis
Responses were analysed as available without source data verification. Incomplete online questionnaires were excluded. For paper questionnaires, rules to handle missing resource data were developed. Data for symptoms and HRQoL were analysed as available with no imputation of missing values. Illogical answers related to disease state, occurring mainly in the paper surveys, were adjusted in consultation with the clinical expert.
Outliers for continuous variables were checked using patient listings, graphical inspection (box plots) and application of a pre-defined cut-off (relative to the maximum possible value). Depending on the type of outlier, these were set to missing or replaced using trimmed means (where 5% of extreme values are eliminated) plus one SD. As the resource data followed a skewed distribution, this pertained only to the upper values.
Unit costs for individual resources were taken from publicly available sources (price lists, tariffs, publications, personal communication from provider organisations) and adjusted, if necessary, to 2015 values using the consumer price index. The analysis is presented from a societal perspective, that is, it includes all costs to all parties. Patient co-payments and other out of pocket expenses are thus included. Productivity losses (sickness absences, early retirement, invalidity) were estimated by the human-capital method using the national average age- and gender-adjusted cost of labour. Loss of leisure time for informal care was attributed to all carers, regardless of age, gender or occupation, and calculated using the national average disposable income after contributions and taxes. As this calculation is based on average salaries for average working hours, costs were capped at 8 hours of care per day, although actual hours of care are reported.
All analyses were done by country and will be reported in detail separately, as will the detailed methodology. Here we report summary findings for all 16 countries. Due to the study objective and data collection process, demographic data were expected to vary between the countries, making inter-country comparisons meaningless. Results are therefore reported for the entire study population, according to EDSS score or according to three levels of disease severity: mild (EDSS 0–3), moderate (EDSS 4–6.5) and severe (EDSS 7–9). Confidence intervals for mean costs were estimated using the bootstrap method (1000 replicates) and reported in 2015 Euros adjusted for purchasing power parity (2015€ PPP).
Findings
Sample description
Data were collected over a period of 15 months, as responses from ethics commissions took between 2 weeks and 12 months. The databases were locked at the end of April 2016, with a total of 16,808 valid responses. The full range of EDSS scores was present in each country sample.
Overall, the mean age was 51.1 years, but country means ranged from 38.5 to 56.7 years. This had a direct effect on disease duration, disease severity and workforce participation data. Age at diagnosis and time from first symptoms to diagnosis were higher in older country samples, as these patients had not benefitted from newer criteria that enable earlier diagnosis (Table 1).
Demographics.
SD: standard deviation; MS: multiple sclerosis.
Sorted by mean age of sample.
The majority of patients in the study had relapsing–remitting MS (52%), of whom 78% received treatment with a DMT. Overall, 57% of patients received a DMT, with use declining with higher EDSS scores. Therapies introduced in the last decade represented 46% of DMT use, but this varied substantially between the countries due to affordability issues and delays in reimbursement. At least one relapse had been experienced by 13% of patients during the 3-month reporting period for this data (Table 2).
Disease information.
EDSS: Expanded Disability Status Scale; SD: standard deviation; RRMS: relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis; SPMS: secondary progressive multiple sclerosis; PPMS: primary progressive multiple sclerosis; DMT: disease-modifying therapy; MS: multiple sclerosis.
Sorted by mean EDSS of sample.
Missing answers excluded.
DMT use is influenced by the data collection method: in countries where the responses from the patient associations had to be complemented with patients from MS centres or other associations where more DMT use must be expected. This applies to Russia, Spain, Poland, France and Portugal.
Alemtuzumab, azathioprine, dimethyl fumarate, fingolimod, mitoxantrone, natalizumab, teriflunomide.
HRQoL and utility
In multiple regression analysis, EDSS score was, as previously shown,
8
the strongest driver of utility, with reductions in utility ranging from −0.051 to −0.925 for EDSS 1–9 (
Fatigue and cognitive difficulties were reported very early in the disease course. Fatigue was reported as an issue by 95% of patients, whose mean fatigue VAS scores were 4.9 in mild, 6.0 in moderate and 6.1 in severe disease. Cognitive difficulties were reported by 71% of patients, whose mean cognition VAS scores were 4.3, 4.9 and 5.3 in mild, moderate and severe disease, respectively. In the full sample, assigning 0 to patients with no problem, mean scores were 3.0, 3.8 and 3.8. In addition, fatigue and cognitive difficulties were the main reasons given for reduced work productivity: fatigue was reported by 70% of participants, cognitive difficulties by 34%, followed by mobility by 28%, pain by 21% and low mood by 18%. The mean VAS score for the effect on work was 3.5 for all participants (Figure 1).

Severity of fatigue, cognitive difficulties and reduced productivity at work, by level of disease severity (mean VAS and CI). Answers to all three questions were reported using a visual analogue scale (VAS) from 0 (no problems) to 10 (severe problems). No imputations were made for missing answers The question on cognition was preceded by a yes/no question about whether participants experienced cognitive difficulties, and patients answering ‘no’ were assigned 0 on the VAS. Answers for productivity were accepted only for participants in employment. Although the severity of fatigue, cognitive difficulties and impact on work productivity increased with increasing EDSS, all factors were present very early in the disease. EDSS: Expanded Disability Status Scale; VAS: visual analogue scale; CI: confidence interval.
In each of four EQ-5D domains (mobility, self-care, usual activities and pain/discomfort), at least 70% of participants reported problems, the impact of which rose with increasing disease severity (Figure 2). Mean utility scores by EDSS were almost identical in all countries, ranging from normal values at EDSS 0 (0.922) to a state considered worth than death at EDSS 9 (−0.254) (Figure 3(a) and (b)).

Proportion of patients and level of problems in the five domains of the EQ-5D, by level of disease severity (

Utility scores by level of disease severity (
Resources used
Healthcare resource use appeared to be driven more by system organisation than by medical need, and differences between countries were thus substantial. Within a 3-month reporting period, inpatient admissions occurred for 7.5% of all participants and day admissions for 9.9%; brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was performed in 24.2%. Overall, 74.9% of participants had at least one consultation: 62.2% saw a neurologist, 11.9% saw an MS nurse and 27.7% saw a general practitioner (Table 3). Among paramedical professions, physiotherapists were used most (32.7%). Community services were used by 23.3% of participants: 5.7% had home visits by nurses, 14.6% had home help, 10.1% used transportation services and 3.6% had personal assistants.
Resource consumption: percent of patients using a resource during a 3-month period.
EDSS: Expanded Disability Status Scale; MS: multiple sclerosis; GP: general practitioner (family doctor); MRI: magnetic resonance imaging.
Sorted by mean EDSS.
Family members provided informal care to 46.3% of participants. Both resource use and hours were very much dominated by patients with severe disease, most of whom required assistance in excess of 8 hours per day (Figure 4).

Use of informal care by patients at different levels of disease severity (
Resources lost
The proportion of employed participants in each country was primarily influenced by the age of the full sample and ranged from 25.7% to 58.1%, with an overall mean of 41.8%. Among participants below retirement age, however, the proportion in employment was more similar, at around 50% (Table 1). Disease state had a marked effect on the proportion of participants below retirement age in employment, which declined from 81.9% at EDSS 0 to 8.2% at EDSS 9 (Figure 5).

Workforce participation: proportion of patients below retirement age (
Costs
Costs are dependent on the availability, use and price of services and on disease severity. All of these varied between countries, leading to very different mean annual costs per patient and making inter-country cost comparisons meaningless. Costs were related to disease severity (EDSS score) in all countries and were dominated by production losses, non-healthcare costs and DMTs (Figures 6 and 7). Overall mean costs (in € PPP) for patients with mild, moderate and severe disease were 22,800 (range of country means, 12,600–27,300), 37,100 (22,500–54,700) and 57,500 (27,500–77,600), respectively. The mean cost of relapses occurring during a 3-month reporting period was estimated at 2188€ PPP (patients with EDSS scores 0 to 6) and ranged from 632 to 4569€ PPP depending on the country.

Mean total annual cost per patient by disease severity and resource type, 2015€ PPP (

Mean total annual cost per patient by EDSS score, 2015€ PPP (
Discussion
Cost of illness studies provide information on all types of costs related to a disease, wherever they occur. Prevalence studies look at costs relating to all patients within a given geographic area and timeframe (generally country-level annual costs) and incidence studies observe costs from diagnosis to cure/death. In MS, both of these approaches are difficult, due to the long disease duration, changing diagnostic criteria and difficulty in surveying a sample representative of prevalence. We have thus chosen to collect data for groups of patients, at all different levels of disease severity. This allows the data to be combined with prevalence data to estimate population-level total costs, 12 or with natural history or cohort data to estimate lifetime costs for a patient with MS.
A number of factors may have influenced the composition of our sample populations. We collected data with the help of patient organisations, both online and on paper, which leads to some degree of bias. Patient organisations provide an opportunity to enrol participants with all levels of disease severity, but depending on the association’s activities, its membership may be biased towards older or younger people. Enrolment may also be biased towards more active and involved patients because they are on treatment and online data collection will favour a younger and better-educated population. Thus, the cost estimate and patient-reported outcome data from this study would need to be adjusted using prevalence data before they are representative of the overall MS population. However, these biases only minimally affect estimates by disease severity (EDSS score).
The proportion of participants receiving a DMT was higher than expected in some countries, particularly those in which the participants had a lower mean age or where the sample had to be augmented with participants recruited through MS centres or other sources (France, Spain, Poland, Portugal and Russia). As DMT use represents the majority of healthcare costs, especially for patients with mild MS (Figure 6), this raises the question of whether DMT costs from this study can be adjusted to reflect the proportion of patients on treatment in the overall MS population. DMTs have an effect on relapse rate and thereby on change in EDSS score. Therefore, it could be expected that the total costs for patients with the same EDSS score and no relapses should be similar if DMT costs are excluded. We investigated this in the German sample as it provided sufficiently large subgroups. However, we found that patients on DMTs had slightly but statistically significantly higher costs due to more intensive management. Thus, adjustments are not straightforward.
Our DMT costs are also likely to be overestimated. As actual selling prices are not public, list prices were used to calculate the average cost per patient. In recent years, however, the market for expensive treatments has seen a number of price adjustments in the form of mandatory or voluntary discounts, special national or local contract agreements, special forms of distribution or bundling.24,25 As a consequence, list prices will overestimate the actual cost of DMTs, particularly in countries with lower gross domestic product (GDP). We partly addressed this by assuming that price reductions are set according to economic wealth and adjusting costs (including DMT costs) using PPP. This may only partly be the case, however, and does not allow for other forms of discount that are known to exist.
It is noteworthy that total costs per patient are similar across countries for participants with mild MS (EDSS 0–3). This could result from a number of factors. First, healthcare costs – in particular DMTs – constitute the majority of costs in this group, while fewer community services are required and employment status is still relatively unaffected. DMTs have similar list prices across Europe and differences in our estimates could result mainly from differences in prescribing patterns. This appears not to be the case in our sample, however. A second interpretation could be that the importance of early intervention with a DMT 6 leads to a concentration of healthcare resources on this patient group, even in less wealthy countries. As MS progresses and becomes more severe, disparities between countries appear owing to differing availability and use of community services.
The intensity of healthcare service use varied widely across the countries and appeared unrelated to differences between the sample populations. Rather, this reflects differences in healthcare organisation, medical traditions, ease of access and – most importantly – availability of given services. Hence, each country needs to be considered in its own right, and few general observations can be made.
Using questionnaires to collect patient-reported data has the advantage of enabling data on HRQoL and symptoms to be related to disease severity. This approach can, however, lead to uncertainty related to clinical features (e.g. type of MS) and recall bias. Indeed, the proportions of patients with primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) in our sample populations is higher than the known prevalence of PPMS. This attests to the difficulty classifying MS by type, which itself is subject to ongoing discussions. 26 In addition, all types of MS are present at some of the EDSS scores; therefore, in this study, we ignore disease type and focus on EDSS score. Recall bias has been shown to be a very minor problem in previous studies. For example, data on the mean number of sick days (from insurance companies) and hospitalisations (sourced from patient charts) differed by only half a day from those reported by patients. 11 The advantage of using questionnaires is therefore more important than the drawbacks.
Previous large cost of illness studies have shown similar results for utility (Figure 3), 8 but have not included information on fatigue and cognition. Although we collected these data using VAS rather than validated instruments in order to minimise questionnaire length, the answers can still provide insight. Interestingly, differences between countries were small, despite the differences in the sample populations presented earlier. Fatigue was experienced by practically all patients, and mean VAS scores were similar for mild, moderate and severe disease. Fatigue was also the most burdensome symptom for employed patients, although it was more pronounced in patients who were not working (VAS score 6.0 vs 5.0 for employed patients). These data cannot confirm, however, whether fatigue was a cause for leaving the workforce. Cognitive difficulties were reported by over 70% of patients, and VAS scores were similar at different disease severities (as for fatigue). A similar pattern has been shown previously. 27 Several confounders for self-reported cognitive difficulties have been found: fatigue, 28 depression 29 and anxiety. 30 In our sample, 95% of patients reported fatigue, 14% reported treatment for depression and 50% reported problems in the EQ-5D anxiety/depression domain. These symptoms were only weakly correlated with EDSS score, and an interesting question would be whether a given level of difficulties was interpreted differently by patients with different disease severities due to differences in demands or a coping effect. Regardless of the underlying causes and confounders, however, we believe that how patients report that they feel is of primary importance.
Future research
Our study highlights a number of areas for further research. In order to estimate the total burden of MS in Europe, new epidemiological studies are needed that estimate prevalence by disease severity (EDSS score), rather than by disease type. This may be facilitated using self-assessed EDSS scores that have shown an excellent correlation with clinician-assessed EDSS. 31 In addition, we need new estimates of DMT use, ideally also by disease severity. Further research into how fatigue, cognition, depression and anxiety affect employment and community participation is warranted. Research on healthcare services should investigate the differences evident in our study between systems, incentives and payment-driven resource utilisation, as a basis of reform and learning from existing practice. Finally, and most importantly, we need data on the long-term impact of DMTs in preventing and delaying disability progression in order to assess their value to society.
