Abstract
Introduction
The highly contested U.S. Presidential election between George H. W. Bush and Al Gore in 2000 turned the television network color-coding schemes of red and blue states into a shorthand system for describing political differences throughout the United States. In 2000, blue states represented those states which chose Democratic candidate Al Gore to become the next president, with red states supporting Republican candidate George H. W. Bush. These terms have continued to be used to describe political attitudes at both the individual and geographic levels. 1
The focus of this article is to investigate how these terms have come to be used by the press since the 2000 election, specifically between 2004 and 2007. Although it is clear that these labels have become part of the political lexicon in many circles, it is unclear whether they define a political reality, a media artifact, or are simply a shortcut to describe political divisiveness. By illustrating how these terms were used over a 4-year period which included a presidential election, it is expected that this article can shed some light on this topic.
Literature Review
If we are to assume that the media are a persuasive force which has a tangible effect on political attitudes, then there is a need to understand how the news media are framing political discourse. How are writers portraying the nature of political divisions, and on what topics are politicians divided? What characterizes “red” voting behaviors and lifestyles in comparison with those on the “blue” end of the spectrum? Is America truly divided, or are the divisions exacerbated by political elites for their own interests? The media are expected to make sense of these aspects of the political and social landscape (Gamson, 1992), though it is an open question as to whether media reporting engages the power struggles that shape news articles, columns, and commentaries.
A useful, and often used, concept for studying news reporting is frames. A frame, as defined by George Lakoff (2004), is a cognitive map which helps viewers to understand how the information is to be recognized, understood, and processed. Frames used within media messages are also seen as a tactic of persuasion, created and maintained largely by politicians and pundits, mediated and disseminated within journalism, to get the voting public to think of any given issue within the language of a particular political campaign (Luntz, 2007). Moreover, people have a tendency to accept only facts which fit within the framework of the discussion, as frames are pervasive and critical to political discussion and thought which structure our ideas and reasoning (Lakoff, 2006; Luntz, 2007). Consequently, frames structure political debate, and those who are able to create and maintain frames built about their own assumptions and worldviews will be able to control political discourse and the ways in which the general public thinks about issues (Lakoff, 2004).
It is important to note that people are not necessarily impotent when dealing with frames, even those that have been found to be highly persuasive. For example, research has shown that media messages are often less persuasive when the receiver questions the credibility of the news source (Petty & Wegener, 1998), or whenever a person already holds strong and certain attitudes about the topic being discussed (Patterson, 1980). Still, frames do matter (Gamson & Modigliani, 1989), and political sources often try to provide frames—or framing tools—to reports to shape news stories. Political discourse consists of differing interest groups and competitors trying to generate interest for their ideas in the minds of some component of the general population or special interest groups (Sunstein, 2009). In a democratic and media-saturated society (Thompson, 1995), we expect to find several competing discourses existing simultaneously in the marketplace of ideas. Within this field, media consumers must sift through the overwhelming amount of content, and find views and assumptions that compliment their own value sets (Manjoo, 2008). As Gamson and Modigliani (1989) noted, “On most policy issues, there are competing packages available . . . one can view policy issues as, in part, a symbolic contest over which interpretation will prevail” (p. 2).
Framing should not be confused with public opinion, as the media are multivalent (Gamson, Croteau, Hoynes, & Sasson, 1992). Frames are simply the ways in which reporting is structured, and frames are used and created by a wide variety of opinion leaders, professional politicians, news journalists, and the general American public over time. As Gamson and Modigliani (1989) added, every policy issue has a culture, and there is an ongoing discourse that evolves and changes over time. Political discourse, as well as political frames, will change as social circumstances and political values also change (Gitlin, 1980). Media frames, which can include visuals, impact the social construction of meaning about political issues and candidates, and should not be thought of as inflexible but as relatively fluid (Barrett & Barrington, 2005).
The motivation behind this study stems from the work of Morris Fiorina, Abrams, and Pope (2006) in their book
From this point of view, political polarization is thought to be a myth. Increasingly, the United States is described as “purple” at both the individual and geographic level, and the assertion is made that “at the individual level, most Americans are ideological moderates rather than extremists, on both economic and moral issues” (Ansolabehere, Rodden, & Snyder, 2006, p. 5). Fiorina and colleagues (2006) supported this argument, claiming that each state actually contains a significant representation of both conservatives and liberals that can (and do) win elections at all levels of government. Therefore, the color of each U.S. state is not clearly “red” and “blue” but some shade of purple.
Fiorina et al. (2006) took the
media to task for popularizing the idea that the United States is divided among political
camps, stating “the prevailing media frame of a polarized nation is not an accurate one” (p.
66), citing that the idea of America being deeply divided is largely a product of the media.
“They [the media] talk primarily to the political class and each other. This is not
representative of what is normal” (Fiorina et al., 2006, p. 21) and “commentators often present Sociological factoids
as if their electoral implications were self-evident” (Fiorina et al., 2006, pp. 34-35). Gronbeck and Wiese (2005) also found
the red/blue paradigm to be a media oversimplification of reality; an overarching story line
constructed to frame public opinion while on the campaign trail. The concept of
Instead of a cultural war, it seems to be the case that individuals, whether self-labeled as liberals or conservatives, tend to hold both conservative and liberal values depending upon the issue, and that states are not unidirectional in any sense (Dombrink, 2005; Fiorina et al., 2006). Baldassarri and Gelman (2008) found that many people neither match nor align their political stances consistently with any particular political party and also that voters often change their stances over time on a variety of issues. In the end, regardless of their voting patterns, the majority of Americans can be viewed as experiencing a high degree of ambivalence on political issues. To categorize and identify entire regions of the country into colors based on the results of a winner-take-all presidential election distorts how people really feel or act within political contexts (Webster, 2007).
Still, there are political scholars who suggest that there is a growing cultural and political divide in the United States. Tom Frank (2004) claimed that there has been a transformation among American voters, who are now placing religious concerns ahead of economic ones, and he notes a small but increasing trend in levels of political polarization. Frank has argued that political stereotypes are being created as individuals connect their voter preferences to their lifestyle practices. The “latte liberal” is just one example. This constituent is a liberal who is positioned above the working class and holds no empathy for those below him or her. It is implied that he or she is also snobby, out-of-touch with ordinary people and their red-state values, and thinks that others are both ignorant and mysterious. In creating these kind of definitions, it is clear that one side is being defined as decent and noble, the other as distant and dispassionate.
There are other researchers who argue that there is evidence that these divides are real. Abramowitz and Saunders (2005) contended that political polarization is at an all-time high in the United States, and is increasing. In addition, Greenberg (2004) contended that the bulk of the American public is loyal to a specific party, and only a small number of voters are in a position to be won over by some political campaign or slogan. Abramowitz and Saunders also note that there are major sociological differences between red and blue states, particularly when it comes to religious services, opinions about abortion, and gun ownership. These writers believe that the news media are mirroring reality in their reports, accurately depicting a country suffering from a deep political divide.
Research Hypotheses and Method
It is predicted here that frameworks rise and fall in popularity over time, and that different types of article writers would be more or less likely to engage in inflammatory political rhetoric in their writing. Two specific hypotheses were developed and stated below.
To study the ways in which the “red and blue” rhetoric has been used and framed, a sample
of 337 newspaper articles containing the terms
Each newspaper article was coded using a variety of manifest and latent coding schemes. Articles were read by one researcher and then a random sample of these articles was read by a second individual who had been trained to use the same coding scheme. Intercoder reliability was found to be .80, which is relatively strong. In regards to the manifest codes, attention was given to the length of the story, the date the story was published, whether the story appeared on the front page, what section of the newspaper the article was located, where the newspaper was located, and whether or not the piece was editorial or commentary (e.g., George Will and Tom Frank). These manifest codes did not yield any statistically significant differences with regards to the framing couched within the red-and-blue discussions, showing coverage to be remarkably uniform by geographic location and time.
The articles were also analyzed qualitatively to discover if there were any recurring themes and portrayals of the U.S. political landscape that could be captured by latent content analyses. While reading the articles, attention was given toward interpreting underlying key meanings and assumptions that were being made about U.S. politics. Although interpretations of article content may vary from one reader to another, patterns began to emerge and articles clustered toward common themes and dimensions. The following discussion is based on these latent analyses.
Qualitative Frameworks: Analysis and Discussion
Six identifiable frames emerged while coding the articles. These have been termed
The
These writers implored the readers to think how they are being misrepresented by those who use more inflammatory rhetoric when describing the political sphere of the United States. This framework warns the readers to be on guard from political opportunists who would try to oversimplify complex political realities with labels to pursue their own gains. A telling quote within this framework comes from Barack Obama in a speech made during the 2004 Democratic Party convention. This quote succinctly summarizes the framework.
The pundits like to slice and dice our country into red and blue states. Red States for
Republicans, blue states for Democrats. But I’ve got news for them, too. We worship an
awesome God in the blue states, and we don’t like federal agents poking around in our
libraries in the red states. We coach Little League in the blue states and, yes, we’ve
got some gay friends in the red states. There are patriots who opposed the war in Iraq,
and there are patriots who supported the war in Iraq. (DeBose, 2004, Section A, p. 6)
It is important to note that this framework was not used as often as some of the more
conflict-oriented frames. It appeared 39 times (11.6%) and was most commonly used in 2004
(24 times). The
In a theme similar to the
Although these writers often did not deny the existence of divisive partisan politics or
polarization, they emphasized that there is still a great amount of both heterogeneity
(Glaeser & Ward, 2006) and
ambivalence (Fiorina et al.,
2006) within cities, counties, individuals, and states across the United States in
terms of political party affiliation. Similar to the Our nation is not red and blue, but many shades of purple. Even in the reddest of the
red states, Utah, Kerry picked up 26 percent of the vote. Even in true-blue New York
City, Bush won the support of more than half a million voters, presumably including
former mayors Rudy Giuliani and Ed Koch. (Section C, pp. 9-10)
In addition, it was typical for those using this frame to accuse the experts and the media
of perpetuating animosity among the public. As Raspberry (2004) added, It has become routine for reporters to look for prototypical partisans in every fight
and tell our stories through their irreconcilable arguments. It is a tendency that plays
us false more often than we care to admit. We acknowledge from time to time that the red
state/blue state paradigm we use to describe America’s almost evenly split electorate
leaves out the voters whom Senator-elect Barack Obama of Illinois characterized as blue
people in red states and vice versa. The fact that, in all but the two states that
apportion their electoral votes, a scant Electoral College majority is enough to turn an
entire state red or blue tempts our analyses to these oversimplified images—even when we
know that the states are all varying shades of purple. (Section A, pp. 6-7)
A common element of purple state articles after the 2004 election was the pessimistic tones
regarding the motives of America’s political and media institutions. Readers were urged to
avoid the manipulation of political pundits who had an invested interest in keeping America
divided via an artificial construction of differences. Accusations were made that discourse
was retarding any meaningful political debates and distorting people’s thoughts and views.
These writers would likely agree with Gronbeck and Wiese (2005) who said that the creation of the red and blue labels
were lazy constructs maintained by political professionals for the purposes of commodifying
voters through the use of inaccurate stereotypes. As Landa (2006) added, I never cared much for the red-state, blue-state political composition; I thought it
was lazy. When a TV news personality stood in front of a map and said “This is a red
state and this is a blue state,” most of us watching slumped on the sofa with our brains
propped on the ottoman. It couldn’t be that simple, and it wasn’t. (Section A, pp.
7-8)
Claims were made within this frame that the predominant defining characteristic among the
public were feelings of ambivalence toward politics, not sharp ideological divides (Baldassarri & Gelman, 2008; DiMaggio et al., 1996; Fiorina et al., 2006). For example,
Kuttner (2005) added that Polls show that a majority of Americans want to keep abortion legal, but have serious
qualms about its widespread use. As citizens, most Americans want a clean environment,
but as consumers we are addicted to polluting cars. A majority of heterosexual Americans
think the government should stay out of the bedrooms of gay adults, but still have
trouble with gay marriage, though not necessarily domestic partnerships. Most Americans
believe in God, but most believers are tolerant of people of diverse faiths or no faith,
and don’t think the government should be in the business of proselytizing, much less
that religion should dictate science. (Section A, p. 12.)
The
Nevertheless, writers often focused upon significant lifestyle patterns and markers which
were seen to be the evidence of major social differences between those who were red-state or
blue-state people. These writers constructed a As you can see, there are already serious red/blue stereotypes. People in blue states are said to spend their time eating sushi, wearing Birkenstocks
and drinking lattes, extra foam, biscotti on the side. Those in Red states chew tobacco,
drink Pabst Blue Ribbon and watch NASCAR. The color labels have recast the stereotypes of each party. Once, being Republican meant you cared about law and order while calling your broker
from your Lexus to ask about your portfolio. Now, Republicans are red-state people, who
are caricatured as driving around in pick-ups with gun-racks on the back. There are
already serious red/blue stereotypes. (Section D, p. 1)
Even when the writers were not attempting to speak seriously about actual political issues
or promote political candidates, they consistently assumed that there were major differences
between people in the United States. However, these writers never launched any serious
investigation about whether the assumptions regarding “red” or “blue” lifestyles or
personality types were accurate. While seemingly not motivated by any political ambitions,
these articles had a way of painting a portrait of two Americas that were strongly divided,
seeing the differences as self-evident and unworthy of debate. Readers were implicitly
assumed by the writers to understand that a significant difference in cultural values and
lifestyle patterns definitely existed within the United States. While not actively pursuing
any political agenda, writers within this framework may have exacerbated differences among
the population without an intention of doing so. These writers may have even used humor
mixed with these personal stereotypes to call people to unity, such as was the following
from Dave Barry (2004): Must we stereotype those who disagree with us? Do we truly believe that ALL red-state
residents are ignorant racist fascist knuckle-dragging NASCAR-obsessed cousin-marrying
roadkill-eating tobacco-juice-dribbling gun-fondling religious fanatic rednecks; or that
ALL blue-state residents are godless unpatriotic pierced-nose Volvo-driving
France-loving left-wing communist latte-sucking tofu-chomping holistic-wacko neurotic
vegan weenie perverts? (Section D, p. 10)
Even though this specific piece was openly sarcastic of the caricatures at the time,
stereotypes of conservatives and liberals were ultimately developed and maintained among
these articles across a wide array of personal beliefs, values, consumer tastes, and daily
practices. Whether intentional or not, these examples consistently developed vague
stereotypes about varied segments of the U.S. populous. While some other frames downplayed
or rejected the notions of significant differences among the U.S. electorate, the
Overall, the
While the Among those who attend church or a place of worship at least weekly . . . 52 percent
[live in] red states . . . 34 percent in blue states . . . I have to tell you the
religion thing really just sort of blew me away. Frequent church-goers are dramatically
more likely to live in red states and they vote. When you see the numbers of Protestants
in these red states, you are always looking at least half of those being born-again—that
is substantial . . . Democrats have to do something about family values. That is a huge
deficit that they have against Republicans. (Section A, p. 2)
The
These claims were often bolstered by political polling and the U.S. Census Bureau data,
which were often offered as “sociological proof” that differences between the red and blue
states was both striking and clear. For example, the following was pointed out by Carrubba (2007): *George Bush carried 14 of the 15 states which refused to ratify the Equal Rights
Amendment (Illinois was the exception); *Bush carried all 10 states with the lowest per capita income, and the 10 states with
the lowest percentage of the population who are college graduates; *John Kerry carried 9 out of 10 states with the highest income and educational levels
(Colorado was the exception); *Bush carried all 20 states that have the highest percentage of their populations
belonging to Evangelical Protestant churches. *Bush carried all 10 states that still allow corporal punishment in the schools; *Bush carried 8 of the 10 states with the lowest abortion rates (except Maine and
Vermont); while Kerry carried 8 of the 10 states with the highest abortion rates (except
Nevada and Florida). (Section A, pp. 3-4)
The message and theme within the
Many using this frame voiced contempt for the values of the political left while expressing
the notion that conservative politicians were in power because Republicans were the ones who
understood real Americans. These claims were often controversial and conflict-oriented even
though the writers consistently presented the data as if the divide was easy to document.
Many
There were 59 articles which asserted the existence of a culture war (17.5%). These articles were evenly dispersed between election and nonelection years, suggesting that the topic was (and continues to be) a central point to numerous political authors over long periods of time. This fact seems consistent with the claims made by Fiorina and colleagues (2006) that there is a political class with a vested interest in continually portraying the nation as bitterly divided for the purposes of acquiring political capital.
Meanwhile, the
The The blue states remain the engine of the American economy. All in all they produced
$5.4 trillion in goods and services in 2001, the last year for which reliable data is
available . . . that’s about $700 billion more than the red states, according to the
government’s Bureau of Economic Analysis. (Section C, p. 10)
Political critics from the left openly resented and questioned conservative claims of patriotism and piety, and accused the right of hypocrisy concerning moral values. While the political left was suggested to be “out-of-touch” and “elitist” by conservatives pundits, liberals accused conservatives of warmongering, excessive rates of adultery, divorce, teenage pregnancy, while being opposed to improvements in education programs and gun control laws.
Nevertheless, writers were not without their own objectives of accumulating political
capital while questioning the moral turpitude of political opponents. Articles suggest that
readers think about how none of the actions pursued by conservative politicians were
justified on either religious or political grounds. Readers were supposed to recognize how
Republican policies ran contrary to what people hold as being “moral,” “spiritual,” or even
“American.” These contests took place on most, if not all, major political issues such as
taxation, abortion, the war in Iraq, and so on. Similar to the Are not moral values also at stake in decisions about war, in drawing lines against
torture, in addressing poverty or in providing desperately needed housing and health
care? It has become commonplace to note that for every injunction in the Bible regarding
homosexuality there are hundreds, maybe thousands regarding care for the poor. (Section
A, pp. 5-6)
Overall, the
Finally, the
Moreover, this framework offered an assumption of insincerity in the motives of the politicians to readers. Another key assumption connoted to the readers was that major social differences by regions and political parties were indeed factual and beyond question. These writers generally also assumed that any politician who did not acknowledge or address the differences did so at his or her own peril.
Continually, it was suggested that politicians must be willing to “win the contest” by consistently offering whatever words and phrases would “score well” with voters in an area, regardless of where they genuinely stood on the issue. Writers within this frame emphasized that professional political campaigns should be carefully managed, crafted, and tailored by candidates depending on audience characteristics and geographical region to gain a maximized payoff. The frames were full of advice, predictions, and suggestions from an assortment of political gurus or social scientists directed toward the candidates. Similar to a team coach or instructor, strategies regarding how a candidate should “speak to the people” in a particular state to get their support were voiced. It is not hard to imagine how anyone reading these texts would feel distrust for politics, skepticism about the candidates, and an overall negative feeling toward the election process.
Writers using this frame attempted to outline precisely how these two Americas differed in
terms of demographics and their support of specific social-political issues. Data, in the
form of polling statistics or other facts and trends about the U.S. population were always
offered as unquestioned justification for the writer’s suggestions. By recognizing these
differences and appealing to them, a candidate could win or lose in any given election. One
example comes from Skiba (2004)
who used demographic data to support an argument being made about how John Kerry and George
H. W. Bush should pursue effective campaign strategies: Red states have smaller percentages of younger voters, single voters, college
graduates, liberals, Catholics and Jews, union members and non-prayers . . . Blue states
have proportionally fewer Republicans, rural dwellers, conservatives, born-again
Christians, daily or weekly attendees at a place of worship, local sports fans, gun
owners, investors, military veterans and married voters. (Section A, p. 4)
Overall, the
Hypotheses Tests Using Quantitative Analysis
To test Hypothesis 1, articles were subdivided into three categories depending on when the newspaper article was published: before the 2004 U.S. Presidential election, between election night 2004 and the end of the year, and in the 3 years following the election (2005-2007). The data should not only show variance in the patterns of framework prevalence, but the time period leading up to the election should have higher rates of inflammatory claims being made on the left and right, or high frequencies of the culture war and liberal partisan frames. However, that did not seem to be the case.
Table 1 indicates small but
significant findings in the relationship between frameworks used and the time the article
was written (χ2 = 23.182,
Framework Usage by Time Period
Based on these results,
My second hypothesis required a classification of the articles where editorials were separated from others. It seemed plausible that editorial writers (often political pundits or members of the general public) would be more likely to take a less neutral stance than professional journalists, hence using more conflict-oriented frames. The results can be seen in Table 2.
Framework Usage—Editorialists Versus Journalists
The data show that editorial writers were more likely to espouse democrat critiques toward
the Republican Party. However, editorials were also less likely to describe the American
political landscape as being immersed in the middle of a culture war. In addition, these
writers were also more likely to deny the existence of a red/blue dichotomy, as the purple
state frame emerges often. As expected, articles written by professional journalists were
more likely to adopt how to win frames to illustrate actual and potential political
strategies. The data table also shows that journalists were slightly more likely to indicate
that the United States was in a culture war. Although these findings did not show a strong
correlation (Cramer’s
Again,
Discussion and Conclusion
The news media in the United States have an impact on society that goes beyond this content analysis of newspaper articles, though what that impact is goes beyond most studies. The media are multivalent (e.g., Gamson et al., 1992), as are its readers. Coverage reflected a wide variety of different viewpoints over time existing simultaneously at most points in time. Sweeping general statements regarding the relationship between political partisanship and the U.S. newspaper media are tenuous at best, and potentially misleading. There seems to be little evidence of any single dominant framework characterizing all news media coverage of politics. This suggests that the news media are not directly to blame for creating rapidly increasing political polarization among the U.S. public—if such polarization exists.
Perhaps more disconcerting is how news stories often regard the motives of politicians as potentially sinister or manipulative; that parties and political elites use sociological data and polls to manipulate publics by geographical region to gain their support. Furthermore, it is possible that readers may develop negative stereotypes of their fellow Americans based on the development of stereotypical “red state” or “blue state” behaviors and beliefs. These beliefs may be capable of breeding a disdain for political different others among American public and reducing the overall civility toward one another in U.S. political discourse.
Last, there did not seem to be any dominant pattern or frame in the coverage which would suggest that political elites effectively use specific rhetorical devises to uniformly pursue an agenda that deeply divided the nation. One could make the argument that political polarization is on the rise in the United States, but the data presented here did not support the idea that these cleavages are being driven by excessively conflict-oriented news coverage that ignores all contestations of whether the United States is really divided. It is imperative that researchers of the media and politics continue to keep one eye on the media and the other on the voting public.
