Abstract
Introduction
Financing constraints, among other business environment–related obstacles, are severely restricting the growth of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) (Beck & Demirgüç-Kunt, 2006). Higher transaction costs related to the smaller loans requested by SMEs, information asymmetry, higher risk premiums due to the opaqueness of smaller firms, and the inability of SMEs’ assets to meet the collateral requirements of creditors are the main firm-level determinants of nonaccessibility to external funds of SMEs (Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, & Maksimovic, 2008). In addition to these common firm-specific factors which have been broadly evidenced in the relevant literature, SMEs operating in the emerging economies are faced by other country-based obstacles, because business environment including regulatory, legal, and financial infrastructures differs markedly between advanced and developing economies. Regulatory environment in which lending institutions operate, bankruptcy and commercial laws that determine the creditor rights of banks and their enforcement, and information-sharing restrictions are important factors that affect SMEs’ access to external finance (De Haas, Ferreira, & Taci, 2010). Immature financial development, bureaucracy, inefficient economic reforms, and political instability also characterize the dysfunctionality and lack of credibility of SMEs in transition economies (Ruziev & Midmore, 2015). The integration of these two contexts of financing constraints of SMEs and SME development particularly in emerging economies creates an interesting and comprehensive research question.
This study addresses an issue of great significance for SME sector development in the developing economies of South Eastern Europe (SEE); in particular, it focuses on the determinants of the financial constraint of SMEs and on the effects of financial obstacles on their growth. As it is widely recognized that the SME sector plays a vital role in the overall economic development of emerging economies, investigating and interpreting the linkages between the factors that determine their financial constraint levels and growth rates may contribute substantially to the literature and provide important implications for policy makers.
Given the important role of SMEs in employment creation and overall economic development, the sector has been on the policy agenda of SEE countries and has been the subject of discussion in academia. Although recent studies have investigated SME sector development in SEE, we provide the following contributions to relevant literature. First, unlike Hashi and Krasniqi (2011), our sample includes all non–European Union (EU) SEE countries, and we focus on the effects of financing constraints on SME growth, whereas they examined the impact of SMEs’ technological capabilities and environmental factors on growth in three Central European and three SEE economies. Second, unlike the descriptive comparison of firm characteristic patterns in the financing constraints of SMEs among Western Balkan countries by Musta (2017b), our analytical methodology is of an empirical nature. Third, Hashi and Toçi (2010) analyzed only the firm-specific determinants of financing constraints for all SEE countries and Leitner (2016) focused on the association between financing constraints and SME growth in cases of 10 New Member States (NMS-10) of the EU, Turkey, and the Western Balkans, whereas we investigate both firm- and country-specific determinants of SME financial obstacles and examine the effects of financing constraint on firm growth in the selected non-EU member SEE economies (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, and Kosovo) or Western Balkans only. Referring to the sample of selected economies, we argue that due to the differences in financial infrastructure; regulatory, administrative, and business environment; and other factors, SMEs in EU member and nonmember states have different growth obstacles and opportunities. We claim that focusing on the non-EU member SEE country group with almost the same level of development and similar economic path exposes determinants of financing constraints and access to finance–growth relationship of SMEs in the region. Furthermore, previous studies have examined the SME financing in Western Balkans in the context of large number of developing countries. For instance, Barth, Lin, and Yost (2011) studied SME financing in 18 developing economies, Dong and Men (2014) included 119 emerging economies in their analysis, Ayyagari, Demirgüç-Kunt, and Maksimovic (2011) examined the association between access to external financing and firm innovation in 47 developing countries, and Ayyagari, Juarros, Martinez Peria, and Singh (2016) investigated the impact of access to finance on employment growth in 70 developing economies. Due to economic, political, administrative, and other differences between developing countries, in investigating financial constraint and SME growth, our study comes up with findings that are specific to Western Balkans particularly.
The results of the empirical analysis indicate that financial constraints are significantly detrimental to SME growth in the selected SEE countries. Contrary to most previous findings, but in line with recent empirical evidence in the case of the same region, a significant positive association between firm age and financial constraint level was found and interpretations were provided. It was also found that among country-specific factors, more concentrated banking sector adversely affects access to financing for SMEs, and a positive relation between domestic credit provided to private sector and access to financing was found. SMEs operating in economies with higher per capita gross domestic product (GDP) reported less growth, whereas better regulatory environment was associated with higher growth rate. Although firm size had a statistically insignificant effect on access to finance, larger firms report higher growth, and a negative relationship between foreign ownership, age, and growth rate was evidenced and implications were given.
The structure of the article is as follows: Section “Literature Review” reviews the relevant literature. Sections “Method” and “Results and Discussion” present the data, the statistical properties of the sample, the methodology, and discussion of the results. Finally, the results of the robustness check are provided, and the limitations and conclusion of the study are discussed.
Literature Review
Although a large body of literature presents consistent evidence that a low level of access to external financing is a robust growth constraint on, and obstacle to, SMEs (Ayyagari, Demirgüç-Kunt, & Maksimovic, 2008; Beck & Demirgüç-Kunt, 2006; Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, & Levine, 2005; Hashi & Toçi, 2010), some recent studies argue that no relationship exists between access to financing and firm growth in some developing economies (Beck, Lu, & Yang, 2015). Apart from that, Regasa, Roberts, and Fielding (2017) evidenced a negative relationship between access to external financing and SME growth in Ethiopia. Furthermore, it is also documented that more advanced economies with larger banking systems and liquid equity markets allow firms to grow faster (Demirgüç-Kunt & Maksimovic, 1998), whereas in economically less developed countries, financing obstacles, especially high interest rates, collateral requirements, and bureaucracy are detrimental to the growth of SMEs (Hashi, 2001; Leitner, 2016).
Hashi and Krasniqi (2011), employing ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and using data from the Business Environment and Enterprise Survey (BEEPS) in cases of three Central European (Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic) and three SEE countries (Albania, Macedonia, Serbia, and Montenegro), argued that differences in access to external financing between country groups were related to the growth stages of SMEs and levels of institutional development.
Hashi and Toçi (2010), applying the tobit and logit models to BEEPS data, examined firm-specific determinants of SMEs’ financing constraints in SEE. The authors concluded that compared with large firms, SMEs are more financially constrained, relying mostly on internal financial sources because their loan applications are more likely to be refused.
Leitner (2016) investigated the impact of financial obstacles and other control variables on growth of SMEs in the NMS-10, Turkey, and Western Balkan economies in pre- and post-financial crisis. The findings emphasize that financial obstacles were more detrimental to the employment growth of SMEs in the Western Balkans than in the NMS-10 economies and Turkey.
Firm-Specific Determinants of Financial Constraints
In the literature, it is widely evidenced that the financial constraint levels of SMEs are determined by firm characteristics and country-specific factors. Barth et al. (2011), Hashi and Toçi (2010), Dong and Men (2014), and other relevant studies that have examined the financing patterns and determinants of SMEs’ access to external financing have documented that firm size, accounting information transparency, age, and ownership type are mostly considered to be the firm-specific attributes related to financing constraints.
Although Mateev, Poutziouris, and Ivanov (2013) argue that the differences in financing decisions among small firms in different industries are likely to be due to firm characteristics rather than industrial differences, in Western Balkan economies, access to financing seems to have a more severe impact on the performance of manufacturing firms than on the performance of their counterparts in the service sector (Kresic, Milatovic, & Sanfey, 2017). SMEs in industries with a higher proportion of fixed assets mostly apply for long-term loans (Johnsen & Richard, 2005); firms operating in the wholesale and retail sectors use short-term debt (Menike, 2015); and relatively profitable SMEs prefer internal financing. Examining the determinants of financing obstacles on a sample of more than 10,000 firms, Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, Laeven, and Maksimovic (2006) found that firms in the manufacturing, agriculture, and construction industries face greater financing constraints. In addition, domestic SMEs are more financially constrained than their foreign-owned counterparts (Beck & Demirgüç-Kunt, 2006; Beck et al., 2006; Wang, 2016). Barth et al. (2011) evidence that foreign-owned small firms are less risky, whereas domestic small firms are crowded out of domestic financial market, and in economies where banking sector is dominated by foreign banks, informational disadvantages cause them to prefer relatively more transparent foreign-owned firms. Hashi and Toçi (2010) found mixed results indicating that SMEs with foreign ownership in SEE rely less on commercial bank credits than their domestic counterparts, and at the same time, they do not rely more on internal funds. Such an association may be backed up by the fact that foreign-owned firms in developing countries, especially those that originated from developed economies, may obtain financial resources through their parent firms located in countries with more efficient financial systems. Regarding firm age and access to external financing, Beck et al. (2006) and Berger and Udell (2006) argue that as younger firms do not have a credit track record, they are usually characterized by informational opaqueness, which leads to reluctance on the part of financial institutions to lend to them. The findings of later studies by Chakravarty and Xiang (2009), Ayyagari, Demirgüç-Kunt, and Maksimovic (2013), and others support this negative relationship between firm age and financial constraint level. It has been evidenced that younger SMEs rely on internal financing rather than on borrowing from banks (Uyar & Guzelyurt, 2015), whereas, as age increases, the share of bank financing gradually increases and informal financing lessens (Wang, 2016). In developing economies, younger firms are substantially smaller than older firms (Ayyagari et al., 2013). Due to their greater bargaining power, large firms in SEE and Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) have a relatively higher leverage ratio than small firms and use more debt financing, regardless of its maturity (Mateev et al., 2013). SMEs, especially small firms, are adversely affected by a lack of collateral, smaller cash flows, an inadequate credit history, high interest rates, a need for special connection with banks, and high-risk premiums in obtaining commercial bank loans (Mateev et al., 2013); in contrast, the largest firms are mostly unaffected by these obstacles (Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, & Maksimovic, 2005). Large enterprises are twice as likely to have a credit line and to have a greater usage of banking services than small ones (Musta, 2017a), and this pattern is consistent for almost all of the economies in the Western Balkan (Musta, 2017b).
Country-Specific Determinants of Financial Constraints: Economic and Institutional Factors
SMEs in countries with higher per capita GDP, higher financial deepening ratios (Beck, 2013), and greater institutional, legal, and financial system development report lower financing obstacles than their counterparts operating in less developed economies (Beck et al., 2006; Fowowe, 2017). The financing obstacles faced by firms are more growth-constraining and more prevalent in developing economies, while they are not such a severe problem in developed economies (Fowowe, 2017). Greater financial deepening and higher per capita GDP levels help to significantly reduce financing constraints on enterprises (Moder & Bonifai, 2017), and firms operating in countries with a high GDP per capita report lower levels of financial constraints (Beck et al., 2006). Due to the underdevelopment of equity markets in the developing economies of the Western Balkans, as in other developing countries, the banking sector is the main supplier of external financing for firms (Mahmutovic & Coskun, 2016; Mateev et al., 2013). Due to the different lending technologies that can be employed by banks, by which they gain a comparative advantage in providing funds to different types of firms, the structure of financial institutions and the overall lending infrastructure have a significant impact on the access SMEs have to financing (Berger & Udell, 2006). The effect of the market power of the creditor on the availability of funds for SMEs has been a disputed issue. Examining SME financing in 18 developing economies, Barth et al. (2011) found that the more consolidated banking sectors reduced the financing obstacles faced by small firms. They argue that creditors with more market power are able to screen borrowers more effectively, which mitigates any reluctance on the part of lenders that stems from SME opaqueness. On the contrary, in more concentrated banking sectors, lenders with greater market power may behave in a more selective way, which constrains small firms more. In emerging economies, commercial banks evaluate the creditworthiness of firms through continual personalized contact with their owners and managers and with the local community in which a firm operates (Berger & Udell, 2006). Therefore, as the relationship between a firm and a bank has a significant impact on the probability of a firm’s loan application being discouraged or rejected (Chakravarty & Xiang, 2009), small domestic niche banks that are closer to a relevant industry may invite applications and provide easier access to financing for smaller firms (de la Torre, Martínez Pería, & Schmukler, 2010). Furthermore, Berger and Black (2011) evidence that large commercial banks are unwilling to transmit, process, and evaluate soft information through social connections, because they benefit from economies of scale in processing hard information and have a comparative advantage in quantifying and diversifying the risks associated with loans based on the evaluation of hard information. In addition, banks are reluctant to lend under discouraging macroeconomic conditions (Kumar & Rao, 2015), because bank performance is affected by macroeconomic factors (Antoun, Coskun, & Georgievski, 2018). Higher inflation rates are associated with relatively weakly developed financial systems (Beck, Demirgüç-Kunt, & Honohan, 2009). In environments with fixed transaction costs, SMEs requiring relatively smaller loans face the burden of high transaction costs (Beck & Demirgüç-Kunt, 2006) and high-risk premiums due to high inflation and macroeconomic instability. SMEs operating in a high-inflation environment might substitute, if they are available, leasing, the development of financial sources, and equity financing for debt (Beck et al., 2008). Although bank finance is the most prevalent type of external financing, high interest rate is one of the common reasons why SMEs cannot apply for bank credits (Ayyagari et al., 2008). Consequently, more than half of the firms report high interest rate as the major obstacle in accessing external finance (Beck et al., 2006). In developing economies with underdeveloped equity market, SMEs depend on short-term debts (Kumar & Rao, 2015); consequently, more efficient debt market functioning provides more credit opportunities and mitigates the financial constraints of small firms.
The expected benefits of financial sector enhancements on small business lending are not achievable unless regulatory and institutional developments reach a certain threshold (Barth et al., 2011; Beck & Demirgüç-Kunt, 2006) and good government policy nurtures entrepreneurial culture (Nasir, Al Mamun, & Breen, 2017). First, the lending policies of banks differ, in part due to regulatory and supervisory differences (Berger & Udell, 1998). Second, a better regulatory environment and the protection of investors’ rights, regardless of the investor type, promote investors’ willingness to provide capital, which has a positive effect on access to external financing (Nofsinger & Wang, 2011). Moreover, effective regulation of the business environment, efficient contract enforcement, and a well-functioning legal system mitigate the effects of information asymmetry on creditor–borrower relationships, and better credit rating regulation helps with creditors’ evaluations of borrowers (Barth et al., 2011). Hence, the literature evidences that a better regulatory environment has a positive impact on SMEs’ access to external financing.
Financial Constraints and SME Growth
It is widely evidenced that firms, especially SMEs, with easier access to external financing report higher employment growth (Ayyagari et al., 2016). Although financing is the greatest growth-constraining obstacle for firms (Fowowe, 2017), its effect on growth differs by firm size, leaving small firms most affected (Ayyagari et al., 2008; Beck & Demirgüç-Kunt, 2006). Among other obstacles, collateral requirements, bank paperwork and bureaucracy, the need for special connections with bank officials, and interest rates are the greatest impediments to the growth of SMEs, more so than to the growth of large enterprises (Beck et al., 2005). What is more significant, financial obstacles hamper both the employee and asset growth of Albanian (Hashi, 2001) and all of the Western Balkan SMEs more than those of their established counterparts in more developed economies (Leitner, 2016).
Control Variables
In analyzing the impact of financial constraint on firm growth, we control for other firm-specific (manufacturing, trade, foreign ownership, and age) and country-specific (GDP as a proxy for economic development, domestic credit as a proxy for financial intermediation, and regulation as a proxy for regulatory efficiency of private sector) variables. Previous findings evidence that in developing countries, a small firm operating in manufacturing sector cannot grow over time relative to their counterparts in other industries, most likely because of inefficient regulations and market imperfections. Numerous studies have found that size, age, and ownership are important determinants of firm growth.
Method
Data and Descriptive Statistics
In this study, we used cross-sectional data obtained from the fifth round of the Business Environment and Enterprise Survey (BEEPS V), which is a joint project of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and the World Bank Group (WBG). The fifth round of the survey, which was updated as of August 2017, was undertaken in 2012-2016 and covered 16,600 firms in 32 countries. It is the most recent available cross-country firm-level data that covers the information on the characteristics and performance of firms and on features of the business environment, including physical and financial infrastructure, and the legal, administrative, political, and regulatory systems in different economies. The population of the survey is nonagricultural economy, and industrial distribution (based on the classification of International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities [ISIC], Revision 3.1) includes all manufacturing, service (hotels, restaurants, transport, storage, communications, and IT), and construction sector, wholesale and retail. Government departments including education, health, police, military, and other similar activities were not included in the survey. Moreover, due to government price regulations and prudential supervisions, establishments operating in financial intermediation, mining and real estate, and all public or utilities sectors were excluded from the survey. It was stated that the available sampling weights accounted for the varying probabilities of selection across different strata, and sampling methodology and survey instruments lead to obtain unbiased estimates for subdivisions with known level of precision (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and World Bank, 2013). In addition, the macroeconomic data of individual countries were acquired from the World Development Indicators data set of the WBG (2014), and the World Governance Indicators (WGI) by Kaufmann, Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2016) served as a source of data for measuring the regulatory quality of the countries in the sample. Although the BEEPS V is cross-sectional survey data that had been collected during 2012-2016 in 32 developing economies, firms in countries in our sample are surveyed in 2013 (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and World Bank, 2014), and country-specific data for the analysis are also obtained for this corresponding year.
Although the definition of
In keeping with the literature (Barth et al., 2011; Beck et al., 2006; Hashi & Toçi, 2010),
As an economic development indicator for the selected countries, the logarithmic transformation of GDP per capita (LogGDP) was employed. Inflation (measured by the consumer price index) is the annual change in the cost of acquiring a basket of consumer goods and services. Bank concentration (
Table 1 presents the descriptive statistics for the variables used in the analysis. As the table shows, most of the variables are dummies and the logarithmic forms of real values. The sample consists of purely domestic (0% foreign ownership), foreign-owned (100% foreign ownership), and partially foreign- owned firms. The average age of the selected firms is 16 years. Average inflation, bank concentration, and regulation indicators are 2.84%, 58.34%, and 0.08, respectively.
Descriptive Statistics for the Variables.
The cross-country statistics for the country-specific variables are given in Table 2. The per capita GDP varies from US$4,412.34 (Albania) to US$7,186.81 (Montenegro). The mean value of the inflation rate is 2.84%, ranging from –0.087% (Bosnia and Herzegovina) to 7.69% (Serbia). There are variations in the banking sector concentration of the commercial banks across the region. Serbia (43.01%) and Kosovo (89.94%) have the lowest and highest levels of banking sector concentration, respectively. The private sector regulation indicator is comparatively low for Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, and Serbia, the highest level being observed in Macedonia. The highest percentage domestic credit to private sector as percentage of GDP is provided in Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro, 54.85% and 53.05%, respectively. In Kosovo, the credit to private sector (34.93%) is low among other economies in the region.
Country-Specific Indicators Across Countries (2013).
The value of interest rate is the highest in Albania (9.51%) and the lowest in Serbia (3.64%).
Table 3 reports the correlation coefficients for the variables we are considering. A negative correlation is observed between both employment growth and fixed asset growth and the financial constraint levels of the firms. SMEs operating in the manufacturing industry seem to perceive access to external financing as a greater obstacle in comparison with their counterparts in the service and trade sectors. Older SMEs and enterprises operating in economies with high levels of concentration in the banking sector seem to perceive access to external financing as a serious obstacle.
Correlation Matrix.
A negative linear association between LogGDP, the inflation and regulation indicator, and financial constraints is observed. Moreover, large firms tend to be older. In economies where the regulation indicator is high, the banking sector is more concentrated. Bank concentration and inflation variables are negatively correlated with domestic credit; in economies where inflation and bank concentration are low, domestic credit to private sector as percentage of GDP is high. Interest rate is negatively and relatively highly correlated with inflation and LogGDP.
Model Specification
The main interest of the analysis lies in how constraint on access to external financing affects the growth of firms. Primarily, to examine the factors that financially constrain small firms, the constraint level was estimated as a function of the firm level and country-specific independent variables (Equation 1). As has been done in most previous studies (Barth et al., 2011; Beck et al., 2006), considering the dummy nature of the independent variable (
where
In the second stage, we analyzed the extent to which obstacles to access external financing constrained the growth, in terms of employment and fixed asset change, of the selected SMEs. Along with financial constraint, we controlled for the impact of other firm- and country-specific variables on firm growth. The value of the variance inflation factor (VIF), which was 2.13, confirms that the estimation does not suffer from a multicollinearity problem. Furthermore, the Breusch–Pagan/Cook–Weisberg test for constant variances of residuals was performed, and the results confirmed the heteroskedasticity of the error terms. As the data under consideration suffered from heterogeneity problem, in addition to OLS with clustered standard errors by country, feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) specification was employed for employment growth estimates (Wooldridge, 2010). Moreover, as fixed asset growth is a dummy variable, probit specification was employed. To observe the prevailing impact of financial constraints and to control for the effects of other selected variables on firm growth, the specification given in Equation 2 was employed:
As the omitted country-specific factors may cause error terms to be correlated for firms within countries, we clustered standard errors by country. To control for omitted-variable bias, country dummies were included in the analysis. Furthermore, we explore the impact of some country-specific factors on financial constraint perception level of SMEs. To avoid the multicollinearity problem, the country dummies were replaced with particular country-specific variables, and separate regressions were run with each of them.
Results and Discussion
Column 1 of Table 4 presents only the firm-specific factors of the financing constraint perceived by SMEs. SMEs operating in the trade sector reported fewer financing obstacles than their counterparts in the service and manufacturing industries. This may be backed up by the fact that in the Western Balkans, the wholesale and retail trades realize the highest revenues in comparison with other economic activities (Džafić, 2014). In economies where external financial sources are unavailable, SMEs with higher profits are able to satisfy their financial needs internally and report fewer financial constraints. Findings show that financing obstacles increase as a firm ages. Although we found a positive association between a firm’s age and its financial constraint levels, which runs contrary to most previous findings, this is, in fact, in line with recent empirical evidence from the same region, the Western Balkans (Hashi & Toçi, 2010; Moder & Bonifai, 2017; Nizaeva & Coskun, 2018). Moder and Bonifai (2017) argued that although older firms may have easier access to external financing, their owners do not apply for loans, and they report greater financing obstacles because of their pessimistic views about the availability of external financing and the proper functioning of the banking system. The statistically insignificant effect of firm size on the financial constraint levels of SMEs implies that both small and medium-sized firms are affected by almost the same factors. We do not find significant association between foreign ownership and perception of financial constraints. Pula (2014) evidenced the resilience of Western Balkan economies on import, remittances, and capital inflow from EU economy, and dramatic changes of these flows in the postcrisis period have direct impact on economy of the “periphery.” Moreover, the observed credit expansion in SEE in the precrisis period was financed by foreign sources; as financial cycle turned, banks faced high outflows of foreign funds that could not be financed by their liquid assets. In the period 2008-2014, the Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) region experienced peak of credit contraction or at least stagnation (Geršl & Seidler, 2015). In the literature, it has been evidenced that foreign-originated SMEs in emerging countries are financed through their parents in developed economies, or due to their less riskiness than their domestic counterparts, they are financed by domestic banks. However, in the postcrisis period, because of economic situation, foreign ownership feature of SMEs in SEE may be insignificantly or weakly (at 10% level in column 2) associated with their financial constraint level.
Determinants of Financing Constraints Faced by SMEs.
Significance of the coefficient at 10%. **Significance of the coefficient at 5%; ***Significance of the coefficient at 1%.
In the next regressions, presented in columns 2-7 of Table 4, in addition to firm characteristics, we controlled for country-specific variables that might influence the SMEs’ perceptions of financial constraints. As reported, among firm-specific attributes, only age seems to be a robust predictor of financing obstacles. Among country-specific variables, except bank concentration and credit to private sector, we found no significant relation between macroeconomic, regulative factors and financial constraint perception level of SMEs. The recent studies evidenced that economies in CESEE experienced a common credit cycle, and in the precrisis period, on average credit-to-GDP ratio increased by about 30% points. The foreign ownership of banks with access to liquidity, which contributed to low interest rates, supported the domestic credit demand boom (Pula, 2014). Iwanicz-Drozdowska, Bongini, Smaga, and Witkowski (2019) find evidence of a negative effect of bank credit on economic growth. Authors argue that when the acceleration of credit supply outpaces the speed of credit growth, excessive credit becomes a drag on economic growth. In turn, such trend led to the macroeconomic and financial imbalances. Once financial cycle turned and economies decelerated, households, firms, and banks were left highly indebted (Geršl & Seidler, 2015). As income fell, house prices dropped and borrowers ended up highly indebted; consequently, credit demand declined. At the same time, on the supply side, reversal of capital flows to the region reduced the capacity of banks to lend and led to tightening of lending policies (Everaert et al., 2015). Generally, better economic performance of countries is associated with favorable institutional, financial, and business environment. Therefore, it was expected that SMEs operating in higher per capita GDP, better macroeconomic environment with low inflation and interest rates, and regulative environment report lower financing obstacles. However, credit bubble burst and growth in nonperforming loans may have loosened the association between macroeconomic indicators and financial constraint perceived by small firms in the region.
The regression results show a strong statistically significant effect of bank concentration on the financing constraint levels of SMEs. The economic justifications of this result are as follows. On the suppliers’ side, due to the opaqueness of SMEs, there is a high information cost burden involved in collecting and evaluating “soft” information on the part of the larger banks.
On the demand side, as the banking system becomes more concentrated, banks with more market power develop a selective attitude toward SMEs, which financially constrains them more. In SEE, particularly in Bosnia and Herzegovina, the banking sector is dominated by large foreign banks; this consolidation strengthened by foreign direct investment (FDI) through acquisition of small private banks (Ilgün & Coşkun, 2009). Accordingly, higher concentration and less competition in the banking sector lead to higher financing constraints on SMEs. Moreover, SMEs operating in economies with higher domestic credit provided to private sector as percentage of GDP report lower financial constraint than their counterparts operating in countries with less credit provisions. The outcome makes sense both theoretically and practically, which means in countries with more domestic credit provided to private firms as percentage of GDP, there is better credit opportunities, which makes SMEs relatively financially less constrained.
As reported (8-14 columns of Table 4), the ordered probit estimates confirmed the above findings. Statistically significant impacts of firm age among firm-specific variables and of other country-specific variables are retained.
Table 5 presents estimates of the determinants of SME growth. As mentioned above, for the purpose of the analysis of this study, three different regressions—OLS, FGSL, probit—were run. For each of them, as reported in Table 5, firm-specific estimates with country dummies and estimates of firm-specific variables together with country-specific controls were given as outcomes of different regressions separately. The OLS and FGLS regression results highlight that
Regression Results for Firm Growth.
Significance of the coefficient at 10%. **Significance of the coefficient at 5%. ***Significance of the coefficient at 1%.
A significant negative association between foreign ownership and firm growth was found. Such result is in line with Leitner (2016), where a negative link between foreign ownership and both sales and employment growths was found in NMS-10, Turkey, and Western Balkan economies. First, although it may have been possible for foreign-owned SMEs to satisfy their financial need for growth, they may have preferred not to grow due to other factors, such as limited market opportunities, administrative and legal constraints, or macroeconomic and political instabilities in the selected developing countries. Estrin and Uvalic (2014) evidenced that investment inflows to the Western Balkans can be explained by the size of the domestic economies and their regulatory and institutional quality. Second, in the relevant literature, the less financial constraint of foreign-owned firms has been interpreted by whether their investments are funded by parent companies mostly located in more developed economies or due to their relative transparency that foreign-owned small firms are preferred by banks in host countries, especially where banking sector is dominated by foreign-owned banks. As in postglobal financial crisis and Eurozone debt crisis, most probably, those parent companies in developed economies also faced financial shortage and Western Balkan economies also experienced credit burst, SMEs with foreign ownership were unable to finance their growth opportunities. Moreover, following the crisis, FDI-recipient Balkan countries also experienced significant declines in FDI.
In line with the previous findings on the selected country group, age had a statistically negative impact on employment growth. Also, nonlinearity in the relationship between age and growth can be observed. These findings are similar to the findings of Xheneti and Bartlett (2012) and Hashi and Krasniqi (2011) in the case of SEE economies and Albania, respectively. As discussed above, older firms perceive access to external finance as a serious obstacle to their operations, and SMEs mostly rely on internal sources of financing. Hence, it is worth to discuss that the financial constraint levels of SMEs might depend on their growth stage. Most SME owners raise their initial capital from personal sources, relatives, and friends, and in their early years, they may also be able to finance their initial expansions to some extent with internal sources. However, because internal financing is not adequate for continuous expansions and external sources are usually not available, as firms mature they perceive access to financing as more of a major obstacle. Accordingly, older firms report a low employment growth rate. From another perspective, younger firms grow faster than older firms, because as firms mature, their rate of return to learning and experience diminishes. The statistical significance of the variable
The results show that larger firms report higher growth rates. Although firm size did not have a significant effect on the financial constraint levels of the firms in the selected Western Balkan economies, they possess more bargaining power and more social and political connections, which enable them to overcome growth-constraining obstacles and may have facilitated their growth.
In economies with higher per capita GDPs, SMEs reported a lower growth rate, whereas a better regulatory environment was associated with higher firm growth. In the literature, there is no consistent evidence that associates a large SME sector with income growth in low-income countries (Beck et al., 2005) because the link between the SME sector and economic development is distorted by the institutional efficiency levels of the countries. Even in countries with relatively larger economies and higher per capita income, due to low regulatory or institutional policy efficiency levels, the SME sector may be stagnant or adversely affected, because inefficient regulatory polices dampen competition and negatively affect firm growth. For instance, Serbia and Montenegro have comparatively high GDPs per capita (7,186.81 and 6,353.83 current US dollars, respectively), yet, according to the rankings of institutional efficiency by the WGI (WBG, 2014), they rank far behind a number of other countries in the sample (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, and Macedonia) that have relatively lower per capita GDPs (Kempe, 2016). Apart from such internal factors, small open economies may be affected by external economic conditions. In the case of Western Balkan economies, Pula (2014) and Fetahi-Vehapi, Sadiku, and Petkovski (2015) evidenced that after 2008-2009, all Western Balkan countries experienced massive declines in exports to EU. This reduction in export or, in another words, decrease in demand in imported EU economies significantly affected the production amount of firms in the SEE region, ranging from 80% of total export in Macedonia to 23% in Kosovo; on average, two thirds of the region’s exports are with the EU (Sanfey & Milatovic, 2018). Serbia, an exporter with more labor-intensive manufacturing goods and complex export structure, suffered more severely than other economies in the region with basic commodities (Pula, 2014). Serbia and Macedonia, as given in Table 2, countries relatively with higher GDP per capita in the region, however, due to their higher integration with EU economy probably caused their exporting SMEs to be more negatively affected. Moreover, Pula (2014) argues that in addition to trade partnership, most SEE economies are remittance dependent on EU economies. Reduction of remittances during the Eurozone crisis also decreased the internal demand for goods in Western Balkans. Consequently, decrease in domestic demand and export opportunities may adversely affect firm growth. The findings of the existing literature consistently evidence the positive association between a better business environment and efficient institutional development and entrepreneurial investment. We found no significant association between firm growth and domestic credit in all specifications. Iwanicz-Drozdowska et al. (2019) found a negative impact of bank credit on economic growth in CESEE economies. Analyzing the structure of credit provided to private sector, Bahadir and Valev (2017) argue that convergence of credit levels is stronger for household credits, consisting of consumption and mortgage credits; the enterprise credit is weak between Western and Southeastern Europe, which means that in emerging economies a significant portion of credit to private sector is directed to household credits rather than to cover entrepreneurial financial needs. Household credit is not effective to support economic growth; in some cases, it is even detrimental to it (Leon, 2016; Sassi & Gasmi, 2014). Analogous credit characteristics of the economies in the sample are likely to have no significant association with the growth of small firms. Moreover, this insignificance stemmed from the above-mentioned credit crunch in the region.
Robustness Check
To test for the endogeneity of the financial constraint variable, following Wooldridge (2012) and Davidson and MacKinnon (1993), we used the Durbin–Wu–Hausman test of augmented regression, because OLS and FGLS estimates may be biased because of its potential endogeneity. Augmented regression test can be formulated by including the residual of an endogenous variable as a function of all exogenous variables in the original model. In this specification, there is no restriction; suspected endogenous variable can be continuous or binary, or it may have continuous and discrete characteristics (Wooldridge, 2010). To illustrate, it is supposed to have a suspected endogenous variable y2 and the following simultaneous equations:
Assuming that each
As a result of the Hausman test, we accept the null hypothesis (π1= 0.02,
The correlation coefficient between financial constraint, a suspected endogenous variable, and residuals in Model 2, ε, is .000; the correlation coefficient between residual of first and second models is .003. Therefore, we state that our regression results are consistent and reported findings are robust.
Limitations
Although it is not a new problem in firm-level empirical studies, our analysis is subject to some shortcomings. First, SMEs’ financial constraint levels were assessed based on self-reported categories rather than on exact figures obtained from the financial statements of the firms. This was because cross-country, firm-level financial data for SMEs were unavailable. Second, the variable
Conclusion
This study provides empirical evidence on determinants of the financial constraints of SMEs and the effects of financial obstacles on their growth in the emerging economies of the selected SEE countries. While most previous studies have separately examined the determinants of financial constraints and the impact of financial constraints on firm growth, less attention has been paid to their combined analysis and implications. In response, we attempted to investigate the factors affecting perception of financing constraints and perceived financing constraints as a growth determinant of SMEs. Consistent with related empirical findings, our analysis results indicate that financing obstacles are a significant detriment to SME growth in the Western Balkan region. Moreover, the article identifies firm attributes and country-specific factors that determine the financial constraint levels of SMEs. Specifically, SMEs operating in the trade sector reported fewer financing obstacles than their counterparts in the service and manufacturing industries. Contrary to most previous findings, but in line with recent empirical evidence in the case of the same region, the findings show that financing obstacles increased as firms got older. Furthermore, when we ran separate regressions that included both firm- and country-specific variables, among country-specific factors banking industry concentration and credit to private sector retain the significant association with financial constraints in both probit and ordered probit regressions. Thus, it is worth stating that financial infrastructure including banking industry and credit market is an important factor of access to financing for SMEs. SMEs operating in economies with higher per capita GDP reported less growth rate, whereas better regulatory environment was associated with higher growth rate. Although firm size had statistically insignificant effect on access to finance, larger firms report higher growth, and negative relationship between foreign ownership, age, and growth rate was evidenced. To test whether the financial constraint variable is sensitive to measurement changes, we used both dummy and ordinal values of the variable. Moreover, considering potential endogeneity of the financial constraint variable, the Durbin–Wu–Hausman test of augmented regression was employed, and consistency of our regressions was confirmed.
SMEs make a substantial contribution to economic development, and they are the main employers in the selected emerging economies. As access to external financing is one of the most robust growth-constraining impediments in this sector, investigating its determinants along with the above discussed firm- and country-specific factors determining firm growth is of great importance to SME sector development polices. Specifically, it is recommended that the selected SEE countries provide more efficient governance, stronger banking sector regulation and supervision, and a better business environment.
