Abstract
Keywords
“I can’t believe that psychological treatments are helpful for my problem” illustrates pessimistic prognostic beliefs about the therapy effectiveness—so-called negative
The Role of Warmth and Competence for Treatment Outcomes and Expectations
Several factors, for instance, the therapeutic alliance, empathy, and expectations, play a significant role in psychological treatments, which were broadly summarized under the term “common factors” (Grencavage & Norcross, 1990; Wampold, 2015). One common factor, the “therapist effect” (Castonguay & Hill, 2017; Crits-Christoph et al., 1991; Johns et al., 2019), including the therapist’s characteristics and behavior, moved even more into the spotlight during the past few years. Thereby, different aspects of the therapist’s influences need to be disentangled.
Even though the factual information transmitted by diverse therapists can be identical, interpersonal behavior can differ excessively between therapists and can affect the information received by patients (Schulz von Thun et al., 2014). Importantly, the therapist’s warmth and competence were considered the two critical dimensions of interpersonal behavior (Howe et al., 2019). The therapist can display either personal engagement and care (warmth) or efficiency, expertise, and knowledge (competence). Furthermore, both dimensions can interact and be present simultaneously (i.e., the therapist explains using a speed tailored to the individual patient). In addition, some studies have discussed a positive correlation between warmth and competence. Therefore, the perception of high warmth could also lead to a higher perception of competence (Howe et al., 2019; Judd et al., 2005; Kraft-Todd et al., 2017).
Using the example of sham acupuncture, Kaptchuk et al. (2008) showed that treatment outcome was much more efficient if the therapist showed warm and empathetic behavior compared with a more technical style of therapeutic interaction. Furthermore, physicians’ warmth and competence were associated not only with a faster recovery in the treatment of common colds (Rakel et al., 2011) but also with higher pain tolerances (Czerniak et al., 2016). In short, meta-analyses including both qualitative and quantitative studies emphasized warmth and competence as moderate to strong predictors for positive clinical outcomes (Derksen et al., 2013; Di Blasi et al., 2001; Elliott et al., 2018; Howe et al., 2019; Howick et al., 2018). However, the underlying mechanisms of these effects remained unclear because assumptions about therapists’ effects were typically based on correlational results, which limited any causal interpretations.
Some authors hypothesized that the therapist’s warmth and competence might have enhanced positive expectations and that these positive expectations were decisive for improved outcomes (Blasini et al., 2018; Howe et al., 2019; Westra et al., 2011; Zion & Crum, 2018). Indeed, competence in conducting cognitive behavioral therapy was associated with better midtreatment OE, which was further connected to better treatment outcomes (Westra et al., 2011). Moreover, a therapist demonstrating warm behavior resulted in more positive OE after an initial therapy session (Ahmed et al., 2012). In addition, the placebo effect of an antiallergy skin cream was enlarged by a warm and competent practitioner (Howe et al., 2017). This result suggested that the widely investigated influence of positive expectations on clinical outcomes was strengthened by warmth and competence. To summarize, a variety of research underpins the relationship between warmth and competence and outcomes, and some authors have assumed the enhancement of positive expectations as an underlying mechanism for this relation.
Expectation Change in Psychological Treatments
Expectations have played important roles not only in medical studies, but also in psychological treatments in which expectations predicted positive outcomes and were necessary to understand and treat psychological disorders (Rief & Glombiewski, 2016). Psychological interventions were more and more considered processes that violated patients’ dysfunctional expectations. Using a theoretical framework for expectation violation, we found that the credibility of the source providing expectation violation—in psychological treatments, usually the therapist—was assumed as one of the crucial factors determining expectation violations (ViolEx model; Rief et al., 2015; Rief & Joormann, 2019). This model is also relevant for investigating the change from critical treatment OE into more positive attitudes. A very understanding and experienced therapist may violate negative expectations and increase patients’ positive expectations about treatments’ effectiveness and thereby improve clinical outcomes.
Critically, to our knowledge, no study to date has investigated the influence of warmth and competence on expectation violation directly. However, the violation of negative OE to create positive OE is crucial for positive therapeutic outcomes in many clinical interactions (i.e., in situations with increased risk for treatment discontinuation or in clinical conditions with low motivation for psychological treatment, e.g., substance use disorder or chronic pain; Raylu & Kaur, 2012; Tse et al., 2013). This was further underpinned by the findings that patients with a generalized anxiety disorder had more positive treatment outcomes when they experienced more pleasant surprises and disconfirmation of initial negative OE and a higher expectation change in the first therapy sessions (Newman & Fisher, 2010; Westra et al., 2010). Expectation changes during initial therapy sessions varied notably between different therapists (Ahmed et al., 2012; Vîslă et al., 2019). Therefore, ways to optimize expectation violation should be investigated by taking warmth and competence into account.
Research Question
In detail, in this research, we aimed to investigate the specific role of a therapist’s interpersonal behavior to influence and optimize expectation violation of negative OE. Because previous studies had limited standardization, we used an experimental study design. We first manipulated negative OE before violating them via videos of therapist–patient interactions (see Moors & Zech, 2017). We kept the expectation-violating information constant and manipulated the interpersonal behavior of the therapist within the videos, such as being warm or competent. We predicted a causal effect of the therapist’s warmth and competence on changing negative OE and that these effects would be amplified when the therapist showed both features. Therefore, we expected the most positive OE in the group in which the therapist was both warm and competent and no significant difference between the high-competence and high-warmth groups (high competence/high warmth > high competence/low warmth = high warmth/low competence > low warmth/low competence). Finally, we employed Bayesian analyses to quantify the strength of our evidence and conquer the shortcomings of conventional analyses.
Method
Participants
For our 2 × 2 between-subjects design, our prior recruitment goal was set to 180 participants (45 per cell) because this would provide us with adequate power (1 - β = 0.9, α = .05) to detect a medium effect size (Howe et al., 2017) calculated using G*Power (Faul et al., 2007, 2009). We recruited online via university mailing lists and social media from May 11 to 14, 2021. For our experiment, 202 participants volunteered; 11 did not meet our inclusion criteria, and four had to be excluded because they fast-forwarded the therapist video. A total sample of 187 participants remained (
Sociodemographics Dependent on Group
Note: Values are
Higher education level includes currently studying at a university or having already obtained a university degree.
Study design
This study was a double-blind 2 × 2 factorial between-subjects design: Warmth (low vs. high) × Competence (low vs. high). OE were measured as the main dependent variable three times: before the expectation manipulation (baseline OE); after the negative manipulation via an auditory scenario that included negative information about the therapy effectiveness (negative OE); and after the expectation violation via four different videos (counterbalanced warmth and competence of the displayed therapist), which included positive information about the therapy effectiveness (positive OE). The study was approved by the local ethics committee of the University of Marburg (Reference 2020-85k) and was preregistered at OSF (https://doi.org/10.17605/osf.io/qc8vf).
Material and procedure
Step 1. Baseline assessment
This online study was implemented in SoSci Survey (Leiner, 2019). Participants were told that this study was intended to examine the perceived effectiveness of stress-management methods in psychotherapy. First, participants gave informed consent, completed a technical check, provided demographic data, and filled out initial questionnaires (Patient Health Questionnaire [PHQ-9], Kroenke & Spitzer, 2002; Generalized Anxiety Disorder Screener [GAD-7], Spitzer et al., 2006; Big Five Inventory [BFI-10], Rammstedt & John, 2007; generic rating scale for previous treatment experiences, treatment expectations, and treatment effects [GEEE] Rief et al., 2021; and Perceived Stress Scale [PSS-10], Cohen et al., 1983). After that, they were instructed to listen carefully to the first part of a scenario (4 min, 26 s) and put themselves in the patient’s shoes as much as possible. In this part, the clinical problem was introduced by describing a person who was very stressed at work (e.g., “Thoughts are racing through your head. You wonder how you are going to manage it all”). The scenario was spoken by a male professional speaker and used simple and short sentences in the present tense (Kirn et al., 2015). We chose this topic because 46% of the German population feel stressed by school, university, or their jobs (Techniker Krankenkasse, 2016). Thus, we assumed a high relevance of this topic and a high self-involvement because most people could identify with the described person. After assessing baseline OE, the second step of the study followed.
Step 2. Negative OE manipulation
Negative OE were manipulated via the second part of the scenario (1 min, 54 s). In this part, the stressed person from the first part recalled a past initial consultation in a psychotherapy practice. During this consultation, the person received negative information about the effectiveness, treatment success, and treatment rationale of psychotherapy to treat stress problems (Constantino, 2012; Kazdin & Krouse, 1983). For instance, “You learned that there are only a few studies on the effectiveness of stress management” (effectiveness). After negative OE was assessed, the main step of the study followed.
Step 3. Expectation violation: positive OE manipulation
Participants were randomized (stratified by gender) to one of four therapist–patient-interaction videos (low competence/low warmth vs. high competence/low warmth vs. high warmth/low competence vs. high competence/high warmth). All videos had comparable durations (low competence/low warmth: 4 min, 27 s; high competence/low warmth: 4 min, 18 s; high warmth/low competence: 4 min, 24 s; high competence/high warmth: 4 min, 16 s) and used the same setting and a male therapist (White man, middle-aged). To increase self-involvement, the videos were filmed over a woman’s shoulder (kept gender neutral), in an attempt to induce in the patients the feeling that they were directly talking to the therapist. We tried to violate the previously induced negative OE by targeting the same categories as in the negative manipulation (effectiveness, treatment success, and treatment rationale) and giving more promising information about the treatment of stress problems (e.g., “Recent study results show that the effectiveness of current treatment methods is very high,” effectiveness). Although we kept the expectation-violating information transmitted constant in all four groups, the interpersonal behavior of the therapist was modulated by counterbalancing warm (e.g., no smiling vs. smiling) and competent (e.g., low level of expertise vs. high level of expertise) behavior across the four videos (adapted from Howe et al., 2017, 2019). The assessment of positive OE and final questionnaires followed (therapist’s warmth and competence, therapeutic alliance, therapy motivation, and agreement with the therapist’s arguments). The experiment lasted approximately 30 min, and participants were reimbursed €10. The study procedure is displayed in Figure 1.

Experimental procedure.
Pilot studies of the stimulus material
We tested the negative OE manipulation and warmth and competence manipulations in two pilot studies with participants who did not take part in the present study. In the first pilot study (
In the second pilot study (
Questionnaires
Control variables
Previous studies indicated that depression, anxiety, or neuroticism could influence expectation change (Barlow et al., 2014; Grupe & Nitschke, 2013; Kube et al., 2019; Rychlak & Lerner, 1965). Furthermore, stress and experiences with psychological treatments may have influenced expectations in this experiment. Therefore, we assessed those variables to control for differences across our four groups.
PHQ-9
Participants completed the German version of the PHQ-9 depression module (Gräfe et al., 2004) to assess the severity of depressive symptoms in the past 14 days. They rated nine questions on a 4-point scale from 0 (
GAD-7
Participants completed the German version of the GAD-7 (Löwe et al., 2008) to detect symptoms of generalized anxiety disorder. They rated seven questions on a 4-point scale from 0 (
PSS-10
Participants completed the German version of the PSS-10 (E. E. Schneider et al., 2020) to measure stress symptoms in the past month. They rated 10 questions on a 5-point scale from 1 (
GEEE
Participants completed the GEEE (Rief et al., 2021) to measure (a) previous experiences with psychotherapy (GEEE-T) and (b) stress-management methods (GEEE-S). Participants had to rate whether they experienced (a) psychotherapy or (b) stress-management methods
BFI-10
Participants completed the German version of the BFI-10 (Rammstedt & John, 2007) because it reflects a widely used model to assess personality. They rated 10 questions on a 5-point scale from 1 (
Variables for main analysis—OE, warmth, and competence
Credibility Expectancy Questionnaire
Participants completed a German version (Devilly & Borkovec, 2000) of the Credibility Expectancy Questionnaire (CEQ; Koch et al., 2016), the most widely used questionnaire to measure OE. Four items were answered on a 9-point scale from 1 to 9, and two items were answered on an 11-point scale from 0% to 100% and transformed into a 9-point scale for analysis. Four items asked how participants think (e.g., “At this point, how logical does a therapy offered to you seem?”), and two items asked how participants feel (e.g., “At this point, how much do you really feel that therapy will help you to reduce your stress symptoms?”) about psychotherapy to reduce their stress symptoms. We used a total mean score (range = 1–9), which demonstrated high internal consistency (αs = .84–.85) and good construct validity in three different samples (Devilly & Borkovec, 2000).
Warmth and competence
Participants rated the therapist’s warmth and competence with six items for warmth and six items for competence from the Stereotype Content Model (SCM; Fiske et al., 2002). They answered the question “How did the therapist seem to you?” by rating six items for warmth (English: friendly, well-intentioned, trustworthy, warm, good-natured, sincere; German:
Exploratory variables
We measured working alliance, therapy motivation, and agreement with the therapist’s statements for an exploratory test of the influence of warmth and competence on these variables.
Working Alliance Inventory, short version
Participants completed the German version (Wilmers et al., 2008) of the Working Alliance Inventory, short version (WAI-S; Horvath & Greenberg, 1989) to assess the quality of therapeutic alliance. They rated 12 questions on a 5-point scale from 1 (
Therapy motivation
Participants rated their motivation to do psychotherapy on one self-generated item (“How motivated are you to do psychotherapy to work on your stress symptoms?”) on a visual analogue scale from 0 (
Agreement
We measured agreement with the therapist’s statements used for the expectation violation. Participants rated the therapist’s statements (e.g., “Recent study results show that the effectiveness of current treatment methods is very high”; see Table S1 in the Supplemental Material) using four self-generated items. We used a 5-point scale from 1 (
Statistical analysis
We conducted all analyses using the R software environment (Version 4.1.0; R Core Team, 2021). The primary confirmatory analysis was fully preregistered in every detail. We preregistered that we would conduct likelihood-ratio tests for all other analyses (control analyses, manipulation checks, and exploratory analyses). For our main variables, we checked the internal consistency by calculating Cronbach’s α. Furthermore, we analyzed our data with likelihood-ratio tests, which compares two nested models: one model including the considered effect compared with a restricted model without the considered effect (
To tackle these problems, we additionally calculated BFs (
Results
Sociodemographics
Demographic variables confirmed the random assignment (stratified by gender) to the four groups (Table 1). The results indicated no significant group differences in terms of the distribution of gender, χ2(3) = 0.19,
Group comparisons of control variables
The results indicated no significant group differences in all investigated control variables. BFs demonstrated moderate to strong evidence for the null effect (Table 2). All mean scores were well below the corresponding clinical cutoff criteria.
Mean Age and Questionnaire Scores by Group
Note: Values under the Group heading are mean scores with standard deviations in parentheses unless otherwise specified. PHQ-9 = Patient Health Questionnaire (Kroenke & Spitzer, 2002); GAD-7 = Generalized Anxiety Disorder Screener (Spitzer et al., 2006); neuroticism = neuroticism score extracted from the Big Five Inventory (Rammstedt & John, 2007); PSS-10 = Perceived Stress Scale (Cohen et al., 1983); BF = Bayes’s factor. BF01 demonstrates evidence strength in favor of the null hypothesis.
Manipulation check
Manipulation of negative OE
We used a total mean score of the CEQ (αs = .85–.97) for the assessment of OE. To examine whether the manipulation of negative OE worked and was similar in all groups, we tested nested models including the factors timing (baseline, negative) and group (low competence/low warmth, high competence/low warmth, high warmth/low competence, high competence/high warmth). Timing significantly predicted negative OE, and there was no significant group or interaction effect: timing: χ2(1) = 177.26,
Manipulation of warmth
All warmth items demonstrated high internal consistency in this study (α = .92). Warmth and competence significantly predicted warmth scores, and there was no interaction effect; warmth: χ2(1) = 65.85,
Manipulation of competence
All competence items demonstrated high internal consistency in this study (α = .95). Warmth and competence significantly predicted competence scores, and there was no interaction effect; warmth: χ2(1) = 8.56,

Mean scores for (a) warmth and (b) competence for each group. Error bars indicate ± 1
Main analysis: OE dependent on warmth and competence of therapist
To control for variances of negative OE, we included negative OE as a covariate in the model comparisons. Warmth and competence significantly predicted OE, and there was no interaction effect; warmth: χ2(1) = 7.88,

Mean outcome expectations (OE) for each group at baseline, after the negative OE manipulation, and after the positive OE manipulation. Error bars indicate ±1
Exploratory analyses
Working alliance and therapy motivation
Warmth and competence significantly predicted working alliance scores, and there was no interaction effect; warmth: χ2(1) = 34.77,
Likewise, warmth and competence significantly predicted therapy motivation scores, and there was no interaction effect; warmth: χ2(1) = 20.43,

Mean scores for (a) alliance and (b) motivation for each group. Error bars indicate ±1
Agreement
The results indicated no significant group differences regarding participants’ agreement with the arguments used for the expectation violation. BFs demonstrated anecdotal evidence for the null effect, χ2(3) = 7.36,
Discussion
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to initially induce negative OE and then investigate the influence of the therapist’s warmth and competence on subsequent expectation violation using a standardized experimental study design. Expectation violation was stronger, and therefore, more positive OE resulted when the therapist was both warm and competent. These results extend the previously demonstrated relevance of warmth and competence for clinical outcomes (Derksen et al., 2013; Di Blasi et al., 2001; Elliott et al., 2018; Howe et al., 2019; Howick et al., 2018) by demonstrating their causal relevance on expectation violation of negative OE into positive OE.
In contrast to previous evidence, which suggested both dimensions to be equally relevant (Howe et al., 2017), in this study, OE were more positive in the group with high competence/low warmth compared with high warmth/low competence. We discuss three possible reasons for the stronger effect of competence in the following. First, this difference might have resulted because competence led to a stronger persuasion compared with warmth (e.g., “He/she seems confident, so he/she might be right”; Geers et al., 2018; Greenberg, 1969). However, according to our data, agreement with the therapist’s statements did not differ across groups, which renders this explanation rather implausible. Instead, we speculate a direct effect of competence on OE (e.g., “He/she seems confident, so I think psychological treatments will help me”).
Second, the intensity of our competence manipulation could have been stronger than the intensity of our warmth manipulation, which would have led to this pattern of results. This would indicate that the competence of the highly competent therapist was more pronounced than the warmth of the highly warm therapist. However, our descriptive data showed no quantitative difference between the warmth and competence ratings, which does not suggest a stronger competence manipulation.
Third, another possible explanation for the stronger effect of competence could be the lack of pathological distress in this study’s healthy sample. We assume that the personal relevance in this study was relatively low, considering that we used an imaginary study design and the cover story of stress-related problems contained a more “technical” problem. This may have led to less need for warmth and a higher preference for the therapist’s competence (i.e., “A therapist who understands me but does not contain the competence to help me renders my beliefs of beneficial psychological treatments outcomes rather low”). Accordingly, this might be the reason for a higher expectation change because of competence in this study. However, as suggested by the current literature, both dimensions might be equally relevant concerning personal topics (i.e., “The therapist has to understand my problem first before she/he can use her/his knowledge to help me”; Howe et al., 2019). Therefore, results should be extended by diverse topics with high personal relevance, for example, by letting participants choose the topic themselves. Moreover, warmth could be even more important in clinical samples, or the preference for warmth and competence might differ across different disorders and other clinical challenges, which should be tested in future studies. The present study outlines experimental research that could be implemented in a clinical setting to increase the external validity (see Flückiger & Grosse Holtforth, 2008).
In addition, our exploratory analyses revealed that warmth and competence also influenced therapeutic alliance and motivation. These results further support their importance in psychological treatments not only for expectation violation but also for other relevant factors. The therapeutic alliance (Ardito & Rabellino, 2011; Kelley et al., 2014; Wampold, 2018) and motivation (Rumpold et al., 2005; W. Schneider & Klauer, 2001) were reported as predictors for positive clinical outcomes, and therefore, options to improve them are helpful. Thus, therapists should use warm and competent interpersonal behavior not only to optimize OE but also to improve the therapeutic alliance and therapy motivation, which may all contribute to a better treatment outcome.
Limitations and future directions
In the following, we discuss four possible limitations of the outlined study. First, our manipulation check of warmth and competence scores revealed some shortcomings of our design. It is difficult to increase one of the two dimensions without influencing the other, at least in the participants’ subjective perception. Our data indicate that some of our manipulations increased both attributes. For example, “providing an exact explanation”—in this study manipulated as competence—could be associated with both competent and warm behavior. This behavior requires the competence of transferring knowledge but also providing explanations for the patient’s interest, which could appear warm and empathic (Howe et al., 2019). Alternatively, an overall positive correlation between warmth and competence judgments may explain this overlap. This would indicate that a higher rating on one dimension automatically leads to a higher perception of the other dimension (Judd et al., 2005; Kraft-Todd et al., 2017). If corresponding ratings are used, participants might have problems disentangling the psychological concepts of warmth and competence. Even though our warmth and competence manipulations were not as clearly distinguishable as we assumed, our Bayesian analyses revealed a sufficient manipulation. Overall, warmth scores were much stronger predicted by the warmth manipulation compared with the competence manipulation and vice versa. However, the overlap of the two constructs limits a distinct interpretation of the separate influences of warmth and competence.
Second, the present study results are limited to a White, middle-aged, male therapist. We tried to tackle this shortcoming by stratifying the participant’s gender to control for possible gender effects and ensuring that all sample characteristics did not differ across groups. Nevertheless, the therapist’s nationality, age, and gender could have had a notable influence on warmth and competence perceptions because these aspects already include different assumptions of warmth and competence (Fiske et al., 2002, 2007). In addition, we did not ask for the participant’s ethnic background, but almost every participant had German citizenship and was highly educated. According to previous studies, race and education can influence therapy expectations (Silverman et al., 2021) or the relevance of warmth and competence (Fiske et al., 2002, 2007). Therefore, our results should be expanded with therapists and participants of different genders, ages, and cultural backgrounds.
Third, we used an imaginary design to enhance standardization and manipulate negative OE. Even though we used a highly relevant topic, scenario, and video settings to keep self-involvement as high as possible, personal relevance could have been relatively low in this study. Participants’ stress levels in this study (
Last, to operationalize OE, we used a self-report measure. Even though this was characterized by high validity and reliability, a challenging problem of self-report measures can be the participants’ bias to respond in favor of the hypothesis because of the presented study material (demand effect; Orne, 1962). In this case, the self-report measure would be more likely to reflect that participants paid attention and understood the study content. However, this would not reflect the overall goal to measure participants’ expectations. To bridge these research gaps, participants’ implicit expectations or behavioral tendencies need to be assessed to control for such possible biases. For this purpose, more studies should combine implicit and explicit measures to make transparent in what manner these measures relate and represent different aspects of expectation violation to aim not only for a change in reported expectations but also in behavior toward seeking psychological treatment.
Conclusion
In conclusion, this study made significant contributions to the field of modifying patients’ expectations in psychotherapy. Although many assumptions about the role of psychotherapists’ interpersonal behavior are based on correlational analyses with limited implications for causality, we were able to use an experimental design that first standardized the development of negative expectations and then varied therapist’s interpersonal behavior along the dimensions of warmth and competence. Warmth and competence were shown to have a causal influence on the effect of expectation violation of negative OE. These insights can give therapists helpful behavioral guidance to improve expectation violation, especially for the treatment of patients holding negative OE. Future studies should aim to investigate that improving outcome expectations by optimizing the warmth and competence of therapists will finally lead to optimized treatment outcomes.
Supplemental Material
sj-pdf-1-cpx-10.1177_21677026221094331 – Supplemental material for How to Change Negative Outcome Expectations in Psychotherapy? The Role of the Therapist’s Warmth and Competence
Supplemental material, sj-pdf-1-cpx-10.1177_21677026221094331 for How to Change Negative Outcome Expectations in Psychotherapy? The Role of the Therapist’s Warmth and Competence by Anna Seewald and Winfried Rief in Clinical Psychological Science
Footnotes
Transparency
References
Supplementary Material
Please find the following supplemental material available below.
For Open Access articles published under a Creative Commons License, all supplemental material carries the same license as the article it is associated with.
For non-Open Access articles published, all supplemental material carries a non-exclusive license, and permission requests for re-use of supplemental material or any part of supplemental material shall be sent directly to the copyright owner as specified in the copyright notice associated with the article.
