The description and the forecast of residential electricity consumption is not only important for many areas of economic policy but also for the long-term investment plans of enterprises supplying electrical power. In the past most projections of future residential electricity demand have missed their target values. Besides erroneous assumptions concerning the development of exogeneous variables, there is strong evidence that misspecification of underlying relations and neglect of aggregation problems have contributed to this.
ActonJ. P.MitchellB. M.SohlbergR. (1980). “Estimating Residential Electricity Demand under Declining-Block Tariffs: An Econometric Study Using Micro-Data.” Applied Economics12: 145-161.
2.
AignerJ.SorooshianP.C.KerwinP. (1984). Conditional Demand Analysis for Estimating Residential End-Use Load Profiles.” The Energy Journal 5(2): 81-98.
3.
AmemiyaT. (1981). “Qualitative Response Models: A Survey.” Journal of Economic Literature19: 1483-1536.
4.
ArchibaldR. B.FinifterD. H.MoodyE.C.Jr.(1982). “Seasonal Variation in Residential Electricity Demand: Evidence from Survey Data.” Applied Economics14: 167-181.
5.
BartenA. P. (1977). “The Systems of Consumer Demand Functions Approach: A Review.” InIntrilligatorM. D., ed., Frontiers of Quantitative Economics, Vol. A. New York: Academic.
6.
DennerleinR. K.-H. (1987). “Hie Effect of Technological Progress on the Electricity Consumption of Private Households.” (to be published).
7.
DennerleinR. K.-H. (1986). Transport Services in Private Households: Results from a Mixed Model with Discrete and Censored Continuous Dependent Variables (paper in preparation).
8.
DennerleinR.K.-H.FlaigG.(1985). Energiehedarfsanalyse Privater Haushalte. Eine Vorstudie iiber die Ensatzmoglichkeiten der Laufenden fVirtschaftsrechnungen (Assessing the Need for Electricity Using Microdata of the Current Household Survey) Augsburg.
9.
DonellyW. A. (1984). “Residential Electricity Demand Modeling in the Australian Capital Territory: Preliminary Results.” The Energy Journal5(2): 118-131.
10.
DubinJ. A.McFaddenD. L. (1984). “An Econometric Analysis of Residential Electric Appliance Holdings and Consumption.” Econometrica52(2): 345-362.
11.
DuncanC. M. (1980). “Formulation Statistical Analysis of the Mixed Continuous/Discrete Dependent Variable Model in Classical Production Theory.” Econometrica (48): 839-52.
12.
GarbaczC. (1984). “Residential Electricity Demand: A Suggested Appliance Stock Equation.” The Energy Journal5(2): 151-154.
13.
HalvorsenR. F. (1975). “Residential Demand for Electricity.” Review of Economics and Statistics57: 12-18.
14.
HeckmanJ. J. (1978). “Dummy Endogeneous Variables in a Simultaneous Equation System.” Econometrica46(6): 931-959.
15.
HillD. H.GrovesR.HowreyE.KlineA.KohlerD.LepkovskiJ.SmithM.(1978). Evaluation of the Federal Administration's Load Management and Rate Design Demonstration Projects. Palo Alto: Electric Power Research Institute.
16.
MaddalaG.S.(1977). Econometrics New York: McGraw-Hill.
17.
McFaddenD. L. (1973). “Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior.” InZarembkaP., ed., Frontiers in Econometrics. New York: Academic.
18.
NelsonJ. P. (1975). “The Demand for Space Heating Energy.” Review of Economics and Statistics57: 508-512.
19.
NordinJ. A. (1976). “A Proposed Modification of Taylor’s Demand Analysis: Comment.” Bell Journal of Economics7: 719-721.
20.
PartiM.PartiC. (1980). “The Total and Appliance-Specific Conditional Demand for Electricity in the Household Sector.” Bell Journal of Economics11: 309-321.
21.
PROGNOS (1984). Die Entwicklung des Energieverbrauches in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und seine Deckung bis zum Jahr 2000. (Forecast of Energy Consumption up to 2000 for the FRG). Basel.
22.
SternP. C. (1984). Improving Energy Demand Analysis. Washington. D.C.: National Academy Press
23.
TaylorL. (1978). “The Demand For Energy: A Survey of Price and Income Elasticities.” InNordhausW. D., ed.. International Studies of Energy Demand. Amsterdam: North Holland.
24.
WillsJ. (1981). “Residential Demand for Electricity.” Energy Economics (October): 249-255.
